ArticleJournal of biogeography2024
Potential sources of time lags in calibrating species distribution models.
Article in Journal of biogeography, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Disturbance regimes drive widespread plant range disequilibrium in Europe alongside climate change.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Frugivore richness poorly predicts seed dispersal effectiveness under climate change.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Future scenarios for British biodiversity under climate and land-use change.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Predicting potential distributions of dominant species and assessing future afforestation risks in Guangdong limestone regions under climate change.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Regional land use and land-use intensity effects on vertebrate biodiversity across Europe identified using species distribution models.Landscape ecology · 2026Article
- Predicting Suitable Habitat forEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Using species ranges and macroeconomic data to fill the gap in costs of biological invasions.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Article
- Potential sources of time lags in calibrating species distribution models.Journal of biogeography · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
15 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The Anthropocene is characterized by a rapid pace of environmental change and is causing a multitude of biotic responses, including those that affect the spatial distribution of species. Lagged responses are frequent and species distributions and assemblages are consequently pushed into a disequilibrium state. How the characteristics of environmental change-for example, gradual 'press' disturbances such as rising temperatures due to climate change versus infrequent 'pulse' disturbances such as extreme events-affect the magnitude of responses and the relaxation times of biota has been insufficiently explored. It is also not well understood how widely used approaches to assess or project the responses of species to changing environmental conditions can deal with time lags. It, therefore, remains unclear to what extent time lags in species distributions are accounted for in biodiversity assessments, scenarios and models; this has ramifications for policymaking and conservation science alike. This perspective piece reflects on lagged species responses to environmental change and discusses the potential consequences for species distribution models (SDMs), the tools of choice in biodiversity modelling. We suggest ways to better account for time lags in calibrating these models and to reduce their leverage effects in projections for improved biodiversity science and policy.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.