Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38509083›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Higher-order Granger reservoir computing: simultaneously achieving scalable complex structures inference and accurate dynamics prediction.

Xin Li, Qunxi Zhu, Chengli Zhao, Xiaojun Duan, Bolin Zhao, Xue Zhang, Huanfei Ma, Jie Sun, Wei Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advances in causal discovery methods for ecological time series.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
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  9. Hypergraph reconstruction from dynamics.Nature communications · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xin LiCenter for Applied Mathematics (NUDT), Changsha, 410073, Hunan, China.
Qunxi ZhuResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems and MOE Frontiers Center for Brain Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China. qxzhu16@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7281-5274
Chengli ZhaoCenter for Applied Mathematics (NUDT), Changsha, 410073, Hunan, China. chenglizhao@foxmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-1993-0229
Xiaojun DuanCenter for Applied Mathematics (NUDT), Changsha, 410073, Hunan, China.
Bolin ZhaoResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems and MOE Frontiers Center for Brain Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Xue ZhangCenter for Applied Mathematics (NUDT), Changsha, 410073, Hunan, China.
Huanfei MaSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Soochow University, Suzhou, 215006, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4262-0123
Jie SunResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems and MOE Frontiers Center for Brain Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Wei LinResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems and MOE Frontiers Center for Brain Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China. wlin@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1863-4306

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 11925103National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 12171350Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Commission) 22JC1401402Shanghai Municipal Education Commission 2023ZKZD04
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recently, machine learning methods, including reservoir computing (RC), have been tremendously successful in predicting complex dynamics in many fields. However, a present challenge lies in pushing for the limit of prediction accuracy while maintaining the low complexity of the model. Here, we design a data-driven, model-free framework named higher-order Granger reservoir computing (HoGRC), which owns two major missions: The first is to infer the higher-order structures incorporating the idea of Granger causality with the RC, and, simultaneously, the second is to realize multi-step prediction by feeding the time series and the inferred higher-order information into HoGRC. We demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of the HoGRC using several representative systems, including the classical chaotic systems, the network dynamical systems, and the UK power grid system. In the era of machine learning and complex systems, we anticipate a broad application of the HoGRC framework in structure inference and dynamics prediction.

Identifiers

PMID38509083
PMCPMC10954644

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.