Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38499547›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Climate change will reduce North American inland wetland areas and disrupt their seasonal regimes.

Donghui Xu, Gautam Bisht, Zeli Tan, Eva Sinha, Alan V Di Vittorio, Tian Zhou, Valeriy Y Ivanov, L Ruby Leung

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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  6. Creeping snow drought threatens Canada's water supply.Communications earth & environment · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Donghui XuAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA. donghui.xu@pnnl.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2859-2664
Gautam BishtAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA. gautam.bisht@pnnl.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6641-7595
Zeli TanAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5958-2584
Eva SinhaAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
Alan V Di VittorioEarth and Environmental Sciences Area, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8139-4640
Tian ZhouAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
Valeriy Y IvanovDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5208-2189
L Ruby LeungAtmospheric, Climate, & Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3221-9467

Funding

U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) KP1703110/75415
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change can alter wetland extent and function, but such impacts are perplexing. Here, changes in wetland characteristics over North America from 25° to 53° North are projected under two climate scenarios using a state-of-the-science Earth system model. At the continental scale, annual wetland area decreases by ~10% (6%-14%) under the high emission scenario, but spatiotemporal changes vary, reaching up to ±50%. As the dominant driver of these changes shifts from precipitation to temperature in the higher emission scenario, wetlands undergo substantial drying during summer season when biotic processes peak. The projected disruptions to wetland seasonality cycles imply further impacts on biodiversity in major wetland habitats of upper Mississippi, Southeast Canada, and the Everglades. Furthermore, wetlands are projected to significantly shrink in cold regions due to the increased infiltration as warmer temperature reduces soil ice. The large dependence of the projections on climate change scenarios underscores the importance of emission mitigation to sustaining wetland ecosystems in the future.

Identifiers

PMID38499547
PMCPMC10948824

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.