Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38493099›Full record

ArticleBMC nephrology2024

Development and validation of a machine learning model to predict time to renal replacement therapy in patients with chronic kidney disease.

Jun Okita, Takeshi Nakata, Hiroki Uchida, Akiko Kudo, Akihiro Fukuda, Tamio Ueno, Masato Tanigawa, Noboru Sato, Hirotaka Shibata

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC nephrology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jun OkitaDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan.
Takeshi NakataDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan. nakata@oita-u.ac.jp.
Hiroki UchidaDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan.
Akiko KudoDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan.
Akihiro FukudaDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan.
Tamio UenoDepartment of Medical Technology and Sciences, School of Health Sciences at Fukuoka, International University of Health and Welfare, Okawa, Japan.
Masato TanigawaDepartment of Biophysics, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, Oita, Japan.
Noboru SatoDepartment of Healthcare AI Data Science, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, Oita, Japan.
Hirotaka ShibataDepartment of Endocrinology, Metabolism, Rheumatology and Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine, Oita University, 8795593, 1-1 idaigaoka Hasama-cho, Yufu-shi, Oita-ken, Japan.
Oita University · JPInternational University of Health and Welfare · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPredicting time to renal replacement therapy (RRT) is important in patients at high risk for end-stage kidney disease. We developed and validated machine learning models for predicting the time to RRT and compared its accuracy with conventional prediction methods that uses the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline.

methodsData of adult chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients who underwent hemodialysis at Oita University Hospital from April 2016 to March 2021 were extracted from electronic medical records (N = 135). A new machine learning predictor was compared with the established prediction method that uses the eGFR decline rate and the accuracy of the prediction models was determined using the coefficient of determination (R

resultsThe least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model exhibited moderate accuracy with an R

conclusionsThe significance of this study is that it shows that machine learning can predict time to RRT moderately well with continuous values from data at a single time point. This approach outperforms the conventional prediction method that uses eGFR time series data and presents new avenues for CKD treatment.

Indexed as

Kidney Failure, ChronicRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAdultGlomerular Filtration RateHumansMachine LearningRenal DialysisRenal Replacement TherapyArtificial intelligenceChronic kidney diseaseMachine learningPredictive modelRenal replacement therapy

Identifiers

PMID38493099
PMCPMC10943785
OpenAlexW4392880809

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.