Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38489347›Full record

ArticlePLOS digital health2024

Identifying prognostic factors for survival in intensive care unit patients with SIRS or sepsis by machine learning analysis on electronic health records.

Maximiliano Mollura, Davide Chicco, Alessia Paglialonga, Riccardo Barbieri

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS digital health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Maximiliano MolluraDipartimento di Elettronica Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2248-8145
Davide ChiccoInstitute of Health Policy Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9655-7142
Alessia PaglialongaCNR-Istituto di Elettronica e di Ingegneria dell'Informazione e delle Telecomunicazioni (CNR-IEIIT), Milan, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1341-2560
Riccardo BarbieriDipartimento di Elettronica Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Politecnico di Milano · ITInstitute of Electronics, Computer and Telecommunication Engineering · ITUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSystemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and sepsis are the most common causes of in-hospital death. However, the characteristics associated with the improvement in the patient conditions during the ICU stay were not fully elucidated for each population as well as the possible differences between the two. GOAL: The aim of this study is to highlight the differences between the prognostic clinical features for the survival of patients diagnosed with SIRS and those of patients diagnosed with sepsis by using a multi-variable predictive modeling approach with a reduced set of easily available measurements collected at the admission to the intensive care unit (ICU).

methodsData were collected from 1,257 patients (816 non-sepsis SIRS and 441 sepsis) admitted to the ICU. We compared the performance of five machine learning models in predicting patient survival. Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) was used to evaluate model performances and feature importance, and by applying Monte Carlo stratified Cross-Validation.

resultsExtreme Gradient Boosting (MCC = 0.489) and Logistic Regression (MCC = 0.533) achieved the highest results for SIRS and sepsis cohorts, respectively. In order of importance, APACHE II, mean platelet volume (MPV), eosinophil counts (EoC), and C-reactive protein (CRP) showed higher importance for predicting sepsis patient survival, whereas, SOFA, APACHE II, platelet counts (PLTC), and CRP obtained higher importance in the SIRS cohort.

conclusionBy using complete blood count parameters as predictors of ICU patient survival, machine learning models can accurately predict the survival of SIRS and sepsis ICU patients. Interestingly, feature importance highlights the role of CRP and APACHE II in both SIRS and sepsis populations. In addition, MPV and EoC are shown to be important features for the sepsis population only, whereas SOFA and PLTC have higher importance for SIRS patients.

Identifiers

PMID38489347
PMCPMC10942078
OpenAlexW4392857193

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.