Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38483666›Full record

ArticleThe European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care2024

Antivirals to prepare for surges in influenza cases: an economic evaluation of baloxavir marboxil for the Netherlands.

Simon van der Pol, Maarten J Postma, Cornelis Boersma

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Simon van der PolHealth-Ecore, Utrechtseweg 60, 3704 HE, Zeist, The Netherlands. simonvanderpol@health-ecore.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1784-1001
Maarten J PostmaHealth-Ecore, Utrechtseweg 60, 3704 HE, Zeist, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-3653
Cornelis BoersmaHealth-Ecore, Utrechtseweg 60, 3704 HE, Zeist, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1190-2638
University Medical Center Groningen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesWe perform a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) and budget impact analysis (BIA) of baloxavir marboxil compared to current care in the Netherlands for patients at risk of influenza-related complications, including patients with comorbidities and the elderly.

methodsIn the CEA, a decision tree model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil for a cohort of 52-year-olds from a societal perspective. A lifetime horizon was taken by incorporating the quality-adjusted life expectancy. The BIA included different epidemiological scenarios, estimating different plausible epidemiological scenarios for seasonal influenza considering the whole Dutch population with an increased risk of influenza complications.

resultsThe base-case ICER was estimated to be €8,300 per QALY. At the willingness-to-pay threshold of €20,000 per QALY, the probability of being cost effective was 58%. The base-case expected budget impact was €5.7 million on average per year, ranging from €1.5 million to €10.5 million based on the severity of the influenza epidemic and vaccine effectiveness.

conclusionIn the Netherlands, baloxavir is a cost-effective treatment option for seasonal influenza, with a base-case ICER of €8,300 per QALY for the population aged 60 years and over and patients at high risk of influenza-related complications. For a large part, this ICER is driven by the reduction of the illness duration of influenza and productivity gains in the working population.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsCost-Benefit AnalysisDibenzothiepinsInfluenza, HumanMorpholinesPyridonesQuality-Adjusted Life YearsThiepinsTriazinesAgedDecision TreesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsAntiviral AgentsbaloxavirDibenzothiepinsMorpholinesOxazinesPyridinesPyridonesThiepinsTriazinesAntiviralBaloxavirBudget impactCost effectivenessSeasonal influenza

Identifiers

PMID38483666
PMCPMC11512865
OpenAlexW4392817920

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.