Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38479821›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open respiratory research2024

Risk factors for pulmonary tuberculosis recurrence, relapse and reinfection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Victor Vega, Javier Cabrera-Sanchez, Sharon Rodríguez, Kristien Verdonck, Carlos Seas, Larissa Otero, Patrick Van der Stuyft

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open respiratory research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A model for the epidemiological impact of tuberculosis policy options.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026
    Article
  4. Hidden in Success: Gendered Patterns of Suboptimal Care Engagement Among Tuberculosis Patients Who "Successfully" Completed Treatment in South Africa.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
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  16. ThemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Victor VegaUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt, Lima, Peru victor.vega.z@upch.pe.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8507-7899
Javier Cabrera-SanchezUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7269-799X
Sharon RodríguezFacultad de Medicina, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru.
Kristien VerdonckDepartment of Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1153-4078
Carlos SeasUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt, Lima, Peru.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7067-9141
Larissa OteroUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Instituto de Medicina Tropical Alexander von Humboldt, Lima, Peru.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8348-4340
Patrick Van der StuyftDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium.

Funding

Patient-centered intervention to prevent tuberculosis among children < 5 years oldK43TW011137 · FIC · UNIVERSIDAD PERUANA CAYETANO HEREDIA · PI OTERO, LARISSA · 2018 to 2022
$697k
FIC NIH HHS K43 TW011137
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe rate of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) recurrence is substantial. Identifying risk factors can support the development of prevention strategies.

methodsWe retrieved studies published between 1 January 1980 and 31 December 2022 that assessed factors associated with undifferentiated TB recurrence, relapse or reinfection. For factors reported in at least four studies, we performed random-effects meta-analysis to estimate a pooled relative risk (RR). We assessed heterogeneity, risk of publication bias and certainty of evidence.

resultsWe included 85 studies in the review; 81 documented risk factors for undifferentiated recurrence, 17 for relapse and 10 for reinfection. The scope for meta-analyses was limited given the wide variety of factors studied, inconsistency in control for confounding and the fact that only few studies employed molecular genotyping. Factors that significantly contributed to moderately or strongly increased pooled risk and scored at least moderate certainty of evidence were: for undifferentiated recurrence, multidrug resistance (MDR) (RR 3.49; 95% CI 1.86 to 6.53) and fixed-dose combination TB drugs (RR 2.29; 95% CI 1.10 to 4.75) in the previous episode; for relapse, none; and for reinfection, HIV infection (RR 4.65; 95% CI 1.71 to 12.65). Low adherence to treatment increased the pooled risk of recurrence 3.3-fold (95% CI 2.37 to 4.62), but the certainty of evidence was weak.

conclusionThis review emphasises the need for standardising methods for TB recurrence research. Actively pursuing MDR prevention, facilitating retention in treatment and providing integrated care for patients with HIV could curb recurrence rates. The use of fixed-dose combinations of TB drugs under field conditions merits further attention. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42018077867.

Indexed as

Antitubercular AgentsRecurrenceReinfectionTuberculosis, PulmonaryHumansRisk FactorsTuberculosis, Multidrug-ResistantAntitubercular AgentsClinical EpidemiologyRespiratory InfectionTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID38479821
PMCPMC10941165

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.