ArticleScientific reports2024
Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 46 papers.
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Who cites it
46 citing papers in PubMed.
- How climate change affects mosquito-borne infectious disease: The different trajectories of malaria and dengue.Science advances · 2026Review
- Rethinking Clinical Trial Design to Accelerate Therapeutics for Arboviral Epidemics.Open forum infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Climate-driven spatiotemporal dynamics of Aedes infestation and dengue transmission in Porto Alegre, Southern Brazil.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Article
- Rethinking Dengue Preparedness in the Era of Climate Change, Urbanisation, and Digital Health: A Structured Narrative Review.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2026Review
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of Zika in Brazil, 2016-2023: a nationwide population-based study.Virology journal · 2026Article
- The role of health institutions in the epidemiological surveillance of arboviral diseases in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil: notification, hospitalization, and regional differences.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Phylogeographic dynamics of oropouche virus in the Colombian Amazon: Evolutionary insights in a climatic context.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Climate variability and dengue incidence in southern Ecuador: an ecological analysis in two contrasting climatic settings (2019-2024).BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Climate change and infectious diseases.Nature medicine · 2026Review
- Epidemiological and digital syndromic surveillance data on dengue, chikungunya, and SARI in Brazil.Scientific data · 2026Article
- Effect of sea surface temperature in El Niño regions on dengue dynamics in Colombia: Evidence from causal machine learning.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Dengue virus introduction and 2025 outlook: scenario-based evaluation of vaccination impact using mathematical modeling.Cadernos de saude publica · 2026Article
- Temperature as a Climate Variable in Dengue Epidemiological Studies.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2026Article
- A statistical model for forecasting probabilistic epidemic bands for dengue cases in Brazil.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Review
- Temporal Trends of Dengue Surveillance in Sardinia, Italy: Implications of Climate Change on Human and Entomological Monitoring.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2025Article
- Integrating machine learning and time-to-event models to explain and predict risk of hospitalization due to dengue in Colombia.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Lessons and concerns about the SARS-CoV-2/DENV co-infection.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Priorities for modelling arbovirus transmission under climate change.Trends in molecular medicine · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Dengue is rapidly expanding its transmission area across Brazil and much of South America. In this study, data-mining techniques were used to identify climatic and demographic indicators that could explain the recent (2014-2020) and simultaneous trends of expansion and exacerbation of the incidence in some regions of Brazil. The previous circulation of the virus (dengue incidence rates between 2007 and 2013), urbanization, and the occurrence of temperature anomalies for a prolonged period were the main factors that led to increased incidence of dengue in the central region of Brazil. Regions with high altitudes, which previously acted as a barrier for dengue transmission, became areas of high incidence rates. The algorithm that was developed during this study can be utilized to assess future climate scenarios and plan preventive actions.
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