Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38465577›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2023

Characterizing the evolving SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in urban and rural Malawi between February 2021 and April 2022: A population-based cohort study.

Louis Banda, Antonia Ho, Stephen Kasenda, Jonathan M Read, Chris Jewell, Alison Price, Estelle McLean, Albert Dube, David Chaima, Lyson Samikwa and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Louis BandaMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi.
Antonia HoMedical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom. Electronic address: Antonia.Ho@glasgow.ac.uk.
Stephen KasendaMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi.
Jonathan M ReadLancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Chris JewellLancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Alison PriceMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Estelle McLeanMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Albert DubeMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi.
David ChaimaKamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Lyson SamikwaKamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Tonney S NyirendaKamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Ellen C HughesMedical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Brian J WillettMedical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Annie Chauma MwalePublic Health Institute of Malawi, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Abena S AmoahMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Amelia CrampinMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Malawi; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Kamuzu Central Hospital · MWLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit · MWMRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBLancaster University · GBLeiden University Medical Center · NLPublic Health Institute of Malawi · MW

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_00034/6Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to investigate the changing SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and associated health and sociodemographic factors in Malawi between February 2021 and April 2022.

methodsIn total, four 3-monthly serosurveys were conducted within a longitudinal population-based cohort in rural Karonga District and urban Lilongwe, testing for SARS-CoV-2 S1 immunoglobulin (Ig)G antibodies using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Population seroprevalence was estimated in all and unvaccinated participants. Bayesian mixed-effects logistic models estimated the odds of seropositivity in the first survey, and of seroconversion between surveys, adjusting for age, sex, occupation, location, and assay sensitivity/specificity.

resultsOf the 2005 participants (Karonga, n = 1005; Lilongwe, n = 1000), 55.8% were female and median age was 22.7 years. Between Surveys (SVY) 1 and 4, population-weighted SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence increased from 26.3% to 89.2% and 46.4% to 93.9% in Karonga and Lilongwe, respectively. At SVY4, seroprevalence did not differ by COVID-19 vaccination status in adults, except for those aged 30+ years in Karonga (unvaccinated: 87.4%, 95% credible interval 79.3-93.0%; two doses: 98.1%, 94.8-99.5%). Location and age were associated with seroconversion risk. Individuals with hybrid immunity had higher SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and antibody titers, than those infected.

conclusionHigh SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence combined with low morbidity and mortality indicate that universal vaccination is unnecessary at this stage of the pandemic, supporting change in national policy to target at-risk groups.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdultAntibodies, ViralBayes TheoremCohort StudiesCOVID-19 VaccinesFemaleHumansMalawiMaleSARS-CoV-2Seroepidemiologic StudiesYoung AdultAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesCommunityLongitudinal cohortMalawiSARS-CoV-2Seroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID38465577
PMCPMC10695832
OpenAlexW4388002854

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.