Predicting Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma: nomogram based on clinical factors and contrast-enhanced ultrasound radiomics signatures.

purposeTo develop a contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) clinic-radiomics nomogram for individualized assessment of Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

methodsA retrospective cohort comprising 310 HCC individuals who underwent preoperative CEUS (using SonoVue) at three different centers was partitioned into a training set, a validation set, and an external test set. Radiomics signatures indicating the phenotypes of the Ki-67 were extracted from multiphase CEUS images. The radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated accordingly after feature selection and the radiomics model was constructed. A clinic-radiomics nomogram was established utilizing multiphase CEUS Rad-score and clinical risk factors. A clinical model only incorporated clinical factors was also developed for comparison. Regarding clinical utility, calibration, and discrimination, the predictive efficiency of the clinic-radiomics nomogram was evaluated.

resultsSeven radiomics signatures from multiphase CEUS images were selected to calculate the Rad-score. The clinic-radiomics nomogram, comprising the Rad-score and clinical risk factors, indicated a good calibration and demonstrated a better discriminatory capacity compared to the clinical model (AUCs: 0.870 vs 0.797, 0.872 vs 0.755, 0.856 vs 0.749 in the training, validation, and external test set, respectively) and the radiomics model (AUCs: 0.870 vs 0.752, 0.872 vs 0.733, 0.856 vs 0.729 in the training, validation, and external test set, respectively). Furthermore, both the clinical impact curve and the decision curve analysis displayed good clinical application of the nomogram.

conclusionThe clinic-radiomics nomogram constructed from multiphase CEUS images and clinical risk parameters can distinguish Ki-67 expression in HCC patients and offer useful insights to guide subsequent personalized treatment.