Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38458771›Full record

ArticleOpen heart2024

Mixed plaque on coronary CT angiography predicts atherosclerotic events in asymptomatic intermediate-risk individuals.

Josephine Warren, Andris Ellims, Jason Bloom, Nigel Sutherland, Philip Lew, Helen Kavnoudias, Sarang Paleri, Dion Stub, Andrew Taylor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open heart, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Josephine WarrenDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4788-2277
Andris EllimsDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Jason BloomDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8838-0332
Nigel SutherlandDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Philip LewDepartment of Radiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Helen KavnoudiasDepartment of Radiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Sarang PaleriDepartment of Cardiology, Royal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
Dion StubDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Andrew TaylorDepartment of Cardiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia a.taylor@alfred.org.au.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveCoronary CT angiography (CCTA) permits both qualitative and quantitative analysis of atherosclerotic plaque and may be a suitable risk modifier in assessing patients at intermediate risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. We sought to determine the association of plaque components with long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in asymptomatic intermediate-risk patients, compared with conventional coronary artery calcium (CAC) score.

methods100 intermediate-risk patients underwent double-blinded CCTA. Follow-up was conducted at 10 years and data were cross-referenced with the National Death Index. The primary outcome was MACE, which was a composite of death, acute coronary syndrome (ACS), revascularisation and stroke.

resultsThe median time from CCTA to follow-up was 9.5 years. 83 patients completed follow-up interview and mortality data were available on all 100 patients. MACE occurred in 17 (20.5%) patients, which included 2 (2%) deaths, 8 (10%) ACS, 3 (4%) strokes and 5 (6%) revascularisation procedures. 47 (57%) patients had mixed plaque, which was predictive of MACE (OR 4.68 (95% CI 1.19 to 18.5) p=0.028). The burden of non-calcified and mixed plaque, defined by non-calcified plaque segment stenosis score, was also a predictor of long-term MACE (OR 1.59 (95% CI 1.18 to 2.13) p=0.002). Neither calcified plaque (OR 3.92 (95% CI 0.80 to 19.3)) nor CAC score (OR 1.01 (95% CI 0.999 to 1.02)) was associated with long-term MACE.

conclusionThe presence and burden of mixed plaque on CCTA is associated with an increased risk of long-term MACE among asymptomatic intermediate-risk patients and is a superior predictor to CAC score.

Indexed as

Acute Coronary SyndromeAtherosclerosisPlaque, AtheroscleroticComputed Tomography AngiographyCoronary AngiographyHumansPrognosisTomography, X-Ray ComputedAcute Coronary SyndromeAtherosclerosisComputed Tomography AngiographyCORONARY ARTERY DISEASERISK FACTORS

Identifiers

PMID38458771
PMCPMC10928729

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.