Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38457608›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2024

Identification of early risk factors for anti-citrullinated-protein-antibody positive rheumatoid arthritis-a prospective cohort study.

Alexandra Cîrciumaru, Yogan Kisten, Monika Hansson, Linda Mathsson-Alm, Vijay Joshua, Heidi Wähämaa, Malena Loberg Haarhaus, Joakim Lindqvist, Leonid Padyukov, Sergiu-Bogdan Catrina and 8 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. RMD open · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Alexandra CîrciumaruDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Yogan KistenDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-3988-1629
Monika HanssonDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Linda Mathsson-AlmThermo Fisher Scientific, Uppsala, Sweden.
Vijay JoshuaDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2606-8180
Heidi WähämaaDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Malena Loberg HaarhausDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Joakim LindqvistDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Leonid PadyukovDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Sergiu-Bogdan CatrinaDepartment of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Guozhong FeiCenter for Rheumatology, Academic Specialist Center, Stockholm Health Services, Region Stockholm.
Nancy VivarDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Hamed RezaeiDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Erik Af KlintDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Aleksandra AntovicDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Bence RéthiDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Anca I CatrinaDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Aase HensvoldDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7669-3777
Karolinska Institutet · SEKarolinska University Hospital · SEDiabetes Australia · AUMedical Products Agency · SEThermo Fisher Scientific (Sweden) · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIndividuals positive for anti-cyclic-peptide-antibodies (anti-CCP) and musculoskeletal complaints (MSK-C) are at risk for developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA). In this study we aimed to investigate factors involved in arthritis progression.

methodsAnti-CCP2-positive individuals with MSK-C referred to a rheumatologist were recruited. Individuals lacked arthritis at clinical and ultrasound examination and were followed for ≥3 years or until clinical arthritis diagnosis. Blood samples from inclusion were analysed for nine ACPA reactivities (citrullinated α-1-enolase, fibrinogen, filaggrin, histone, vimentin and tenascin peptides); 92 inflammation-associated proteins; and HLA-shared epitope alleles. Cox regression was applied to the data to identify independent predictors in a model.

resultsTwo hundred and sixty-seven individuals were included with median follow-up of 49 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 22-60); 101 (38%) developed arthritis after a median of 14 months (IQR: 6-27). The analysis identified that presence of at least one ACPA reactivity (hazard ratio [HR] 8.0; 95% CI: 2.9, 22), ultrasound-detected tenosynovitis (HR 3.4; 95% CI: 2.0, 6.0), IL-6 levels (HR 1.5; 95% CI: 1.2, 1.8) and IL-15 receptor α (IL-15Rα) levels (HR 0.6; 95% CI: 0.4, 0.9) are significant independent predictors for arthritis progression in a prediction model (Harrell's C 0.76 [s.e. 0.02], AUC 0.82 [95% CI: 0.76, 0.89], cross-validated AUC 0.70 [95% CI: 0.56, 0.85]).

conclusionWe propose a high RA risk phase characterized by presence of ACPA reactivity, tenosynovitis, IL-6 and IL-15Rα and suggest that these factors need to be further investigated for their biological effects and clinical values, to identify individuals at particular low risk and high risk for arthritis progression.

Indexed as

Anti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesArthritis, RheumatoidDisease ProgressionFilaggrin ProteinsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesFilaggrin ProteinsFLG protein, humananti-citrullinated protein antibody reactivitiesbiomarkersrheumatoid arthritisrisk phase

Identifiers

PMID38457608
PMCPMC11534094
OpenAlexW4392582050

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.