Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38455941›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in epidemiology2023

Greedy knot selection algorithm for restricted cubic spline regression.

Jo Inge Arnes, Alexander Hapfelmeier, Alexander Horsch, Tonje Braaten

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Article in Frontiers in epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jo Inge ArnesDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Alexander HapfelmeierInstitute of AI and Informatics in Medicine, TUM School of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Alexander HorschDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Tonje BraatenDepartment of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Non-linear regression modeling is common in epidemiology for prediction purposes or estimating relationships between predictor and response variables. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression is one such method, for example, highly relevant to Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis. RCS regression uses third-order polynomials joined at knot points to model non-linear relationships. The standard approach is to place knots by a regular sequence of quantiles between the outer boundaries. A regression curve can easily be fitted to the sample using a relatively high number of knots. The problem is then overfitting, where a regression model has a good fit to the given sample but does not generalize well to other samples. A low knot count is thus preferred. However, the standard knot selection process can lead to underperformance in the sparser regions of the predictor variable, especially when using a low number of knots. It can also lead to overfitting in the denser regions. We present a simple greedy search algorithm using a backward method for knot selection that shows reduced prediction error and Bayesian information criterion scores compared to the standard knot selection process in simulation experiments. We have implemented the algorithm as part of an open-source R-package, knutar.

Indexed as

algorithmmodel selectionnon-linear regressionpredictionrestricted cubic splines

Identifiers

PMID38455941
PMCPMC10910934

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.