Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38448981›Full record

ArticleVirology journal2024

Antigenic drift and immunity gap explain reduction in protective responses against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses during the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study of human sera collected in 2019, 2021, 2022, and 2023.

Even Fossum, Andreas Rohringer, Torstein Aune, Kjersti Margrethe Rydland, Karoline Bragstad, Olav Hungnes

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Virology journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
6.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Even FossumDivision of Infection Control, Department of Virology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway. even.fossum@fhi.no.
Andreas RohringerDivision of Infection Control, Department of Virology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway.
Torstein AuneDivision of Infection Control, Department of Virology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway.
Kjersti Margrethe RydlandDivision of Infection Control, Department of Vaccines, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway.
Karoline BragstadDivision of Infection Control, Department of Virology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway.
Olav HungnesDivision of Infection Control, Department of Virology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, PO Box 222 Skøyen, 0213, Oslo, Norway.
Norwegian Institute of Public Health · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-pharmaceutical interventions implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a marked reduction in influenza infections globally. The absence of influenza has raised concerns of waning immunity, and potentially more severe influenza seasons after the pandemic.

methodsTo evaluate immunity towards influenza post-COVID-19 pandemic we have assessed influenza A epidemics in Norway from October 2016 to June 2023 and measured antibodies against circulating strains of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) in different age groups by hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) assays in a total of 3364 serum samples collected in 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023.

resultsInfluenza epidemics in Norway from October 2016 until June 2023 were predominately influenza As, with a mixture of A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) subtype predominance. We did not observe higher numbers of infections during the influenza epidemics following the COVID-19 pandemic than in pre-COVID-19 seasons. Frequencies of protective HAI titers against A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses were reduced in sera collected in 2021 and 2022, compared to sera collected in 2019. The reduction could, however, largely be explained by antigenic drift of new virus strains, as protective HAI titers remained stable against the same strain from one season to the next. However, we observed the development of an immunity gap in the youngest children during the pandemic which resulted in a prominent reduction in HAI titers against A(H1N1)pdm09 in 2021 and 2022. The immunity gap was partially closed in sera collected in 2023 following the A(H1N1)pdm09-dominated influenza seasons of 2022/2023. During the 2022/2023 epidemic, drift variants of A(H1N1)pdm09 belonging to the 5a.2a.1 clade emerged, and pre-season HAI titers were significantly lower against this clade compared to the ancestral 5a.2 clade.

conclusionThe observed reduction in protective antibodies against A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses post COVID-19 is best explained by antigenic drift of emerging viruses, and not waning of antibody responses in the general population. However, the absence of influenza during the pandemic resulted in an immunity gap in the youngest children. While this immunity gap was partially closed following the 2022/2023 influenza season, children with elevated risk of severe infection should be prioritized for vaccination.

Indexed as

COVID-19Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanAntigenic Drift and ShiftChildCross-Sectional StudiesHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypePandemicsA(H1N1)pdm09A(H3N2)AntibodyAntigenic driftImmunity gapInfluenzaSerology

Identifiers

PMID38448981
PMCPMC10916265
OpenAlexW4392517963

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.