Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38441923›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2024

Durability of the Effectiveness of Heterologous COVID-19 Vaccine Regimens in Thailand: Retrospective Cohort Study Using National Registration Data.

Ponlagrit Kumwichar, Chittawan Poonsiri, Siobhan Botwright, Natchalaikorn Sirichumroonwit, Bootsakorn Loharjun, Supharerk Thawillarp, Nontawit Cheewaruangroj, Amorn Chokchaisiripakdee, Yot Teerawattananon, Virasakdi Chongsuvivatwong

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ponlagrit KumwicharDepartment of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-1580-5720
Chittawan PoonsiriHealth Intervention and Technology Assessment Program, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0003-2143-1662
Siobhan BotwrightHealth Intervention and Technology Assessment Program, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-8204-2065
Natchalaikorn SirichumroonwitDepartment of Medical Services, Institute of Medical Research and Technology Assessment, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0001-7403-0278
Bootsakorn LoharjunDepartment of Medical Services, Institute of Medical Research and Technology Assessment, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-4709-6682
Supharerk ThawillarpDepartment of Disease Control, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0001-8793-0670
Nontawit CheewaruangrojBig Data Institute, Ministry of Digital Economy and Society, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-3727-1432
Amorn ChokchaisiripakdeeBig Data Institute, Ministry of Digital Economy and Society, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0003-3319-1467
Yot TeerawattananonHealth Intervention and Technology Assessment Program, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0003-2217-2930
Virasakdi ChongsuvivatwongDepartment of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-9850-4463
Ministry of Public Health · THPrince of Songkla University · TH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe durability of heterologous COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) has been primarily studied in high-income countries, while evaluation of heterologous vaccine policies in low- and middle-income countries remains limited.

objectiveWe aimed to evaluate the duration during which the VE of heterologous COVID-19 vaccine regimens in mitigating serious outcomes, specifically severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization with COVID-19, remains over 50%.

methodsWe formed a dynamic cohort by linking records of Thai citizens aged ≥18 years from citizen vital, COVID-19 vaccine, and COVID-19 cases registry databases between May 2021 and July 2022. Encrypted citizen identification numbers were used to merge the data between the databases. This study focuses on 8 common heterologous vaccine sequences: CoronaVac/ChAdOx1, ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1, CoronaVac/ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1, CoronaVac/ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, BBIBP-CorV/BBIBP-CorV/BNT162b2, ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/BNT162b2, and ChAdOx1/ChAdOx1/mRNA-1273. Nonimmunized individuals were considered for comparisons. The cohort was stratified according to the vaccination status, age, sex, province location, month of vaccination, and outcome. Data analysis employed logistic regression to determine the VE, accounting for potential confounders and durability over time, with data observed over a follow-up period of 7 months.

resultsThis study includes 52,580,841 individuals, with approximately 17,907,215 and 17,190,975 receiving 2- and 3-dose common heterologous vaccines (not mutually exclusive), respectively. The 2-dose heterologous vaccinations offered approximately 50% VE against severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization with COVID-19 for 2 months; however, the protection significantly declined over time. The 3-dose heterologous vaccinations sustained over 50% VE against both outcomes for at least 8 months, as determined by logistic regression with durability time-interaction modeling. The vaccine sequence consisting of CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 demonstrated >80% VE against both outcomes, with no evidence of VE waning. The final monthly measured VE of CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 against severe COVID-19 and death following hospitalization at 7 months after the last dose was 82% (95% CI 80.3%-84%) and 86.3% (95% CI 83.6%-84%), respectively.

conclusionsIn Thailand, within a 7-month observation period, the 2-dose regimens could not maintain a 50% VE against severe and fatal COVID-19 for over 2 months, but all of the 3-dose regimens did. The CoronaVac/CoronaVac/ChAdOx1 regimen showed the best protective effect against severe and fatal COVID-19. The estimated durability of 50% VE for at least 8 months across all 3-dose heterologous COVID-19 vaccine regimens supports the adoption of heterologous prime-boost vaccination strategies, with a primary series of inactivated virus vaccine and boosting with either a viral vector or an mRNA vaccine, to prevent similar pandemics in low- and middle-income countries.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesAdolescentAdultBNT162 VaccineHumansRetrospective StudiesThailandBNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 Vaccinesassociationassociationsbig dataCochran-Mantel-HaenszelcohortCOVID-19databasedatabasesdurabilityeffectivenesshealth outcomehealth outcomesheterologous vaccineMantel-Haenszelodds ratioodds ratiospublic healthreal-worldregistriesregistryregressionriskrisksSARS-CoV-2timeunvaccinatedvaccinatedvaccinationvaccination strategyvaccinevaccine effectivenessvaccineswaning

Identifiers

PMID38441923
PMCPMC10951833
OpenAlexW4392457528

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.