Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38438790›Full record

ArticlePediatric cardiology2025

Predictive Scoring System for Spontaneous Closure of Infant Ventricular Septal Defect: The P-VSD Score.

Ah Young Kim, Nuri Tchah, Ching-Yu Lin, Jung Min Park, Wongi Woo, Chang Sin Kim, Se Yong Jung, Jae Young Choi, Jo Won Jung

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 40% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Ah Young Kim *Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea.
Nuri Tchah *Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea.
Ching-Yu LinDepartment of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Jung Min ParkDepartment of Pediatrics, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang-si, South Korea.
Wongi WooDepartment of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Chang Sin KimDivision of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea.
Se Yong JungDivision of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea.
Jae Young ChoiDivision of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea.
Jo Won JungDivision of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, C.P.O. Box 8044, Seoul, 03722, Korea. jwjung@yuhs.ac.
Yonsei University · KRNational Health Insurance Service · KRSeverance Hospital · KR

Funding

Faculty research grant of Yonsei University College of Medicine 6-2021-0225
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ventricular septal defect (VSD) is a common congenital heart disease. However, consensus on the utility of echocardiography in predicting spontaneous closure (SC) of VSD remains lacking. This study aimed to identify and validate significant predictors of SC through a predictive scoring system. This retrospective study included medical records of 712 echocardiography instances performed on 304 patients diagnosed with VSD from 2016 to 2020 in their first year of life. A novel scoring system for predicting the SC of VSD was developed and validated using another dataset from different hospitals. Of the 304 patients, 215 (70.7%) had perimembranous (PM) VSDs and 89 had muscular (29.3%) VSDs. The median follow-up periods were 36.2 (interquartile range [IQR], 13-59) months and 13.7 9 (IQR, 5-37.4) days for PM and muscular VSDs, respectively. The overall SC rate during follow-up was 29.3%. Pulmonary hypertension (HTN), concomitant left ventricle (LV)-right atrium (RA) shunt, VSD size to aortic valve (AV) annulus size ratio, and left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) z-score were significant risk factors affecting SC of VSD. The "P-VSD" score, a new scoring system, demonstrated an area under the curve for predictability of 0.769. Pulmonary HTN, concomitant LV-RA shunt, LVEDD z-score, and VSD size-to-AV annulus size ratio at diagnosis were significantly associated with non-SC VSD after infancy. The P-VSD score can predict the SC of VSD in clinical settings and simplify the identification and appropriate management of high-risk patients.

Indexed as

EchocardiographyHeart Septal Defects, VentricularFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart VentriclesHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMalePredictive Value of TestsRemission, SpontaneousRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsCongenital heart defectInfantSpontaneous closureVentricular septal defect

Identifiers

PMID38438790
OpenAlexW4392383935

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.