Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38437559›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Fatigue and vigilance in medical experts detecting breast cancer.

Sian Taylor-Phillips, David Jenkinson, Chris Stinton, Melina A Kunar, Derrick G Watson, Karoline Freeman, Alice Mansbridge, Matthew G Wallis, Olive Kearins, Sue Hudson and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
6.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Intrinsic motivation and false feedback reduce the low prevalence effect.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sian Taylor-PhillipsDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1841-4346
David JenkinsonDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0008-8868-3630
Chris StintonDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
Melina A KunarDepartment of Psychology, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
Derrick G WatsonDepartment of Psychology, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
Karoline FreemanDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
Alice MansbridgeDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0000-9518-1825
Matthew G WallisCambridge Breast Unit and National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Trust, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, United Kingdom.
Olive KearinsScreening Quality Assurance Service, National Health Service (NHS) England, Birmingham B2 4HQ, United Kingdom.
Sue HudsonPeel and Schriek Consulting Limited, London NW3 4QG, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2175-4939
Aileen ClarkeDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
University of Warwick · GBCambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBNational Health Service · GB

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) CDF-2016-09-018National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) NIHR302371National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) NIHR302434NIHR | NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (NIHR Cambridge BRC) BRC-1215-20014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An abundance of laboratory-based experiments has described a vigilance decrement of reducing accuracy to detect targets with time on task, but there are few real-world studies, none of which have previously controlled the environment to control for bias. We describe accuracy in clinical practice for 360 experts who examined >1 million women's mammograms for signs of cancer, whilst controlling for potential biases. The vigilance decrement pattern was not observed. Instead, test accuracy improved over time, through a reduction in false alarms and an increase in speed, with no significant change in sensitivity. The multiple-decision model explains why experts miss targets in low prevalence settings through a change in decision threshold and search quit threshold and propose it should be adapted to explain these observed patterns of accuracy with time on task. What is typically thought of as standard and robust research findings in controlled laboratory settings may not directly apply to real-world environments and instead large, controlled studies in relevant environments are needed.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsFatigueFemaleHumansLaboratoriesMammographyResearch Designbreast cancercancer screeninghuman behaviorvigilance decrement

Identifiers

PMID38437559
PMCPMC10945845
OpenAlexW4392382886

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.