Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38437551›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Emerging long-term trends and interdecadal cycles in Antarctic polynyas.

Grant A Duffy, Fabien Montiel, Ariaan Purich, Ceridwen I Fraser

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Grant A DuffyDepartment of Marine Science, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-9031-8164
Fabien MontielDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand.
Ariaan PurichSchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, and Australian Research Council Special Research Initiative for Securing Antarctica's Environmental Future, Monash University, Clayton, Kulin Nations, VIC 3800, Australia.
Ceridwen I FraserDepartment of Marine Science, University of Otago, Dunedin 9054, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-6918-8959
University of Otago · NZAustralian Research Council · AU

Funding

Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) SR200100005Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) MBIE ANTA1801Royal Society Te Apārangi (Royal Society of New Zealand) MFP-18-UOO-216Royal Society Te Apārangi (Royal Society of New Zealand) MFP-20-UOO-173Royal Society Te Apārangi (Royal Society of New Zealand) RDF-UOO1803
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polynyas, areas of open water embedded within sea ice, are a key component of ocean-atmosphere interactions that act as hotspots of sea-ice production, bottom-water formation, and primary productivity. The specific drivers of polynya dynamics remain, however, elusive and coupled climate models struggle to replicate Antarctic polynya activity. Here, we leverage a 44-y time series of Antarctic sea ice to elucidate long-term trends. We identify Antarctic-wide linear increases and a hitherto undescribed cyclical pattern of polynya activity across the Ross Sea region that potentially arises from interactions between the Amundsen Sea Low and Southern Annular Mode. While their specific drivers remain unknown, identifying these emerging patterns augments our capacity to understand the processes that influence sea ice. As we enter a potentially new age of Antarctic sea ice, this advance in understanding will, in turn, lead to more accurate predictions of environmental change, and its implications for Antarctic ecosystems.

Indexed as

Amundsen Sea LowAntarcticapolynyasea iceSouthern Ocean

Identifiers

PMID38437551
PMCPMC10945784
OpenAlexW4392383177

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.