ArticleJournal of geriatric psychiatry and neurology2024
Forecasted Dementia Prevalence in Portugal (2020-2080).
Article in Journal of geriatric psychiatry and neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Digital Cognitive Rehabilitation Platforms for Older Adults in Portugal: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Pooled it
- Identifying Facilitators and Obstacles in Piloting Dementia Initiatives Within a Living Lab Approach: Systematic Review.JMIR aging · 2026Pooled it
- Sex differences in health-related quality of life among individuals at high risk of dementia.European geriatric medicine · 2025Trial
- Effectiveness of Individual Cognitive Stimulation on Cognition in Mild Alzheimer's Disease: A Multicenter RCT.Psychogeriatrics : the official journal of the Japanese Psychogeriatric Society · 2025Trial
- Exploring the use of digital media to support meaningful activities for people living with dementia: A qualitative study.Dementia (London, England) · 2026Article
- REMINDER program: a randomized controlled trial protocol of a neuropsychological intervention for lifestyle modification in older adults at risk of dementia.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
- Development of personalized exercogs for older adults care: A feasibility and single-arm study.International journal of clinical and health psychology : IJCHPArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Dementia is a global public health challenge, and its impact on Portugal is yet unclear. This study forecasts dementia prevalence in Portugal until 2080. Using the Gonçalves-Pereira et al (2021) method, we estimated dementia cases among older adults (≥65 years) in the community. Applying age-sex specific prevalence rates of the Gonçalves-Pereira study to population projections for Portugal between 2020-2080, based on the 10/66 Dementia Research Group criteria (10/66 DRG) and the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders IV criteria (DSM-IV), to Portugal's population projections (2020-2080) under various growth scenarios (low, medium, and high). We anticipate a more than 2-fold increase in dementia prevalence from 2020 to 2080, both for 10/66 DRG [2.1%-5.0%] and DSM-IV [.8%-2.0%]. By 2080, those aged ≥80 years are projected to constitute 75.0% (vs 59.0% in 2020) of all dementia cases, particularly affecting women. Addressing dementia growth in Portugal calls for a comprehensive global response, while country-level estimates facilitate informed public health planning, policy-making, and resource allocation.
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Registered trials
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