ArticleHeliyon2024
Trends and age-period-cohort effect on the incidence of falls from 1990 to 2019 in BRICS.
Article in Heliyon, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.
- Rising mortality trends due to falls among the elderly in Southwest China from 2014 to 2022: age-period-cohort analysis of 6,524 individuals.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Global, regional, and National burden of falls among midlife women from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.Aging clinical and experimental research · 2025Article
- Burden and trend of maternal sepsis and other maternal infections in BRICS countries from 1990 to 2021.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2025Article
- Temporal Trends in the Burden of Disease for Male Infertility from 1990 to 2021 in the BRICS.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2025Article
- Article
- Effects of age, period, and birth cohort on fall-related mortality in older adults in Brazil from 1980 to 2019.Cadernos de saude publica · 2025Article
- Trends in the burden of urolithiasis in China: an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in surgery · 2025Article
- Trend analysis of pediatric urolithiasis prevalence from 1990 to 2021 in the BRICS.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: The increasing burden of falls in BRICS countries warrants a comprehensive investigation to understand the dynamics and trends. This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 to assess fall incidence rates in Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) to provide valuable insights for the development of targeted prevention and management strategies. Methods: Data from the GBD 2019 were employed to estimate fall incidence rates. The study utilized age-period-cohort (APC) model analysis, implemented using R 4.3.0 software and the R package apc, to examine fall incidence trends from 1990 to 2019. Results: In 2019, the BRICS nations collectively reported 32.32 million fall cases. The overall fall incidence rate increased from 2681.7 per 100,000 people in 1990-2896.3 per 100,000 people in 2019. China and India exhibited escalating trends, with China experiencing the highest growth rate at 21%, followed by India at 5.8%. South Africa displayed a comparatively lower overall incidence rate increase. Notably, the 90-94 age group in China exhibited the most significant deterioration, with men and women experiencing annual increases of 4.23% and 1.77%, respectively. Age effects indicated a higher susceptibility to falls among preschool children and the elderly. Period effects revealed no improvement in the fall state for India (2005-2019) and China (2015-2019). Cohort effects adversely impacted the incidence rate for individuals born earlier in South Africa. Conclusion: The present study highlights a consistent upward trend in fall incidence rates across BRICS countries from 1990 to 2019. With an aging population, the burden of fall-related diseases is on the rise in these nations. Our results underscore the necessity of formulating evidence-based disease prevention and management approaches tailored to the distinctive demographic attributes of each nation. Addressing these trends is crucial for mitigating the growing impact of falls on public health in BRICS countries.
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