Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38429632›Full record

ArticleBMC nephrology2024

Trend analysis and prediction of the incidence and mortality of CKD in China and the US.

Wenpeng Zhu, Mengqi Han, Yuxin Wang, Guoping Wang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC nephrology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Wenpeng ZhuSchool of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China.
Mengqi HanSchool of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China.
Yuxin WangSchool of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China.
Guoping WangSchool of Public Health, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China. 304111225@qq.com.
Wannan Medical College · CN

Funding

Research on the construction of humanistic care systems in public hospitals based on social expectation NO. SK2019ZD19
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrently, limited research is available on the comparative analysis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence and mortality rates between China and the United States. This study aimed to explore the trends in CKD incidence and mortality rates in both countries, as well as make some future predictions.

methodsThe data on CKD incidence and mortality in China and the US from 1990 to 2019 were derived from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease database. A Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze temporal trends in CKD incidence and mortality. An age-period-cohort model was used to assess the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on CKD risk and forecast the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of CKD in China and the US over the next 15 years.

resultsCKD incidence in China and the US showed an upward trend. Its mortality rate showed a downward trend in China but an upward one in the US. The relative risk (RR) of CKD incidence and mortality increases with age. The RR of CKD incidence in the 0-5 age group exceeds that in the 5-55 age group, and the RR for mortality surpasses that in the 5-35 age group. Over time, the RR of CKD incidence has gradually increased in China and the US. Individuals born in later birth cohorts had a lower RR of CKD incidence and mortality. The ASIR of CKD may increase in both China and the US, whereas its ASMR may decline over the next 15 years.

conclusionScreening measures should be strengthened among populations at high risk of CKD; prenatal examinations of pregnant women should be emphasized to reduce CKD incidence in newborns. It is imperative to increase health education and encourage individuals to adopt healthy lifestyles.

Indexed as

Glycation End Products, AdvancedRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAdolescentChinaFemaleHealth EducationHumansIncidenceInfant, NewbornPregnancyGlycation End Products, AdvancedAge-period-cohortCKDIncidenceJoinpointMortalityPrediction

Identifiers

PMID38429632
PMCPMC10908046
OpenAlexW4392361833

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.