Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38429630›Full record

ArticleBMC ophthalmology2024

Study of myopia progression and risk factors in Hubei children aged 7-10 years using machine learning: a longitudinal cohort.

Wenping Li, Yuyang Tu, Lianhong Zhou, Runting Ma, Yuanjin Li, Diewenjie Hu, Cancan Zhang, Yi Lu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC ophthalmology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The application of artificial intelligence in myopia prediction for children and adolescents: a review.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Review
  3. Parental knowledge-attitude-practice profiles in childhood myopia: a comprehensive evaluation integrated with clinical findings.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Article
  4. Artificial intelligence in pediatric myopia - a narrative review.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Review
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  12. Review
  13. Cross-population validation of the PreMO risk indicator for predicting myopia onset in children.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Wenping Li *Department of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Yuyang Tu *Department of Informatics, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Lianhong ZhouDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China. 2935292648@qq.com.
Runting MaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Yuanjin LiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Diewenjie HuDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Cancan ZhangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Yi LuDepartment of Ophthalmology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 238 Jiefang Road, 430060, Wuhan, China.
Wuhan University · CNUniversität Hamburg · DE

Funding

Key Research and Development Program of Hubei Province 2022BCA044
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo investigate the trend of refractive error among elementary school students in grades 1 to 3 in Hubei Province, analyze the relevant factors affecting myopia progression, and develop a model to predict myopia progression and the risk of developing high myopia in children.

methodsLongitudinal study. Using a cluster-stratified sampling method, elementary school students in grades 1 to 3 (15,512 in total) from 17 cities in Hubei Province were included as study subjects. Visual acuity, cycloplegic autorefraction, and height and weight measurements were performed for three consecutive years from 2019 to 2021. Basic information about the students, parental myopia and education level, and the students' behavioral habits of using the eyes were collected through questionnaires.

resultsThe baseline refractive errors of children in grades 1 ~ 3 in Hubei Province in 2019 were 0.20 (0.11, 0.27)D, -0.14 (-0.21, 0.06)D, and - 0.29 (-0.37, -0.22)D, respectively, and the annual myopia progression was - 0.65 (-0.74, -0.63)D, -0.61 (-0.73, -0.59)D and - 0.59 (-0.64, -0.51)D, with the prevalence of myopia increasing from 17.56%, 20.9%, and 34.08% in 2019 to 24.16%, 32.24%, and 40.37% in 2021 (Χ

conclusionMyopia progression varies by age, sex, and myopia severity. Baseline refraction is the most important factor in predicting high myopia in childhood. we should focus on children with large baseline refraction or young age of onset of myopia in clinical myopia prevention and control.

Indexed as

MyopiaRefractive ErrorsChildFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMachine LearningMaleRisk FactorsChildrenHigh myopiaMachine learningMyopia progressionRefractive statusRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID38429630
PMCPMC10905806
OpenAlexW4392354373

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.