ArticleCell2024
Underdetected dispersal and extensive local transmission drove the 2022 mpox epidemic.
Article in Cell, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.
- Dynamics of global mpox epidemics, 1970-2025: a systematic review and meta-analysis of evolving transmissibility and intervention effects.BMJ global health · 2026Pooled it
- APOBEC3-driven attenuation of the 2022 global outbreak monkeypox virus relative to its clade IIb ancestor.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Genomic characterization and infectivity assessment of Monkeypox virus from the 2022 Croatian outbreak.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2026Article
- Undetected circulation of monkeypox virus in Portugal: Evidence for a 50-day gap before first detection.Global epidemiology · 2026Article
- Extensive cryptic circulation sustains mpox among men who have sex with men.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Genomic epidemiology of the 2025 mpox epidemic in Sierra Leone.Nature medicine · 2026Article
- Article
- Viral introductions and return to baseline sexual behaviors maintain low-level mpox incidence in Los Angeles.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Sensitivity analysis of epidemic forecasting and spreading on networks with probability generating functions.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2026Article
- Sero-genomic evidence for occult mpox exposure in healthy Nigerian adults.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Lessons for medical countermeasure development from unforeseen outbreaks.Emerging microbes & infections · 2025Review
- Phylodynamic inference suggests introductions as main driver of Mpox Clade II outbreak in 2022 in Slovenia.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Relationship dynamics and behavioral adaptations in the control of the 2022 mpox epidemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Detecting Evolutionary Change-Points with Branch-Specific Substitution Models and Shrinkage Priors.ArXiv · 2025Article
- Detecting Evolutionary Change-Points with Branch-Specific Substitution Models and Shrinkage Priors.Research square · 2025Article
- How Information Exposure Shapes Risk Perceptions and Vaccination Intentions Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men: Cross-Sectional Survey Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2025Article
- Viral introductions and return to baseline sexual behaviors maintain low-level mpox incidence in Los Angeles County, USA, 2023-2024.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Exploiting Viral DNA Genomes to Explore the Dispersal History of African Swine Fever Genotype II Lineages in Europe.Genome biology and evolution · 2025Article
- Transmission dynamics of the 2022 mpox epidemic in New York City.Nature medicine · 2025Article
- Mobile Mpox Vaccination in New York City Provided Flexible Community-Responsive Vaccine Access During the 2022 Global Mpox Emergency.Open forum infectious diseases · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
The World Health Organization declared mpox a public health emergency of international concern in July 2022. To investigate global mpox transmission and population-level changes associated with controlling spread, we built phylogeographic and phylodynamic models to analyze MPXV genomes from five global regions together with air traffic and epidemiological data. Our models reveal community transmission prior to detection, changes in case reporting throughout the epidemic, and a large degree of transmission heterogeneity. We find that viral introductions played a limited role in prolonging spread after initial dissemination, suggesting that travel bans would have had only a minor impact. We find that mpox transmission in North America began declining before more than 10% of high-risk individuals in the USA had vaccine-induced immunity. Our findings highlight the importance of broader routine specimen screening surveillance for emerging infectious diseases and of joint integration of genomic and epidemiological information for early outbreak control.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.