Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38420631›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2024

Decreasing body size is associated with reduced calving probability in critically endangered North Atlantic right whales.

Enrico Pirotta, Peter L Tyack, John W Durban, Holly Fearnbach, Philip K Hamilton, Catriona M Harris, Amy R Knowlton, Scott D Kraus, Carolyn A Miller, Michael J Moore and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
8.7field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. The combined effects of multiple stressors in an endangered, long-lived species: Lessons learned and ways forward.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Longer rorqual whale mothers produce more female offspring.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Enrico PirottaCentre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3541-3676
Peter L TyackSchool of Biology, Scottish Oceans Institute, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8409-4790
John W DurbanSouthall Environmental Associates, Inc., 9099 Soquel Drive, Aptos, CA 95003, USA.
Holly FearnbachSR3, SeaLife Response, Rehabilitation and Research, Des Moines, WA, USA.
Philip K HamiltonAnderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life, New England Aquarium, Boston, MA, USA.
Catriona M HarrisCentre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
Amy R KnowltonAnderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life, New England Aquarium, Boston, MA, USA.
Scott D KrausAnderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life, New England Aquarium, Boston, MA, USA.
Carolyn A MillerDepartment of Marine Chemistry and Geochemistry, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, USA.
Michael J MooreDepartment of Biology, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, USA.
Heather M PettisAnderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life, New England Aquarium, Boston, MA, USA.
Theoni PhotopoulouCentre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9616-9940
Rosalind M RollandAnderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life, New England Aquarium, Boston, MA, USA.
Robert S SchickSouthall Environmental Associates, Inc., 9099 Soquel Drive, Aptos, CA 95003, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3780-004X
Len ThomasCentre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7436-067X
New England Aquarium · USUniversity of St Andrews · GBWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution · USCenter for Whale Research · USDuke University · USSouthall Environmental Associates (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Body size is key to many life-history processes, including reproduction. Across species, climate change and other stressors have caused reductions in the body size to which animals can grow, called asymptotic size, with consequences for demography. A reduction in mean asymptotic length was documented for critically endangered North Atlantic right whales, in parallel with declines in health and vital rates resulting from human activities and environmental changes. Here, we tested whether smaller body size was associated with lower reproductive output, using a state-space model for individual health, survival and reproduction that quantifies the mechanistic links between these processes. Body size (as represented by the cube of length) was strongly associated with a female's calving probability at each reproductive opportunity. This relationship explained 62% of the variation in calving among reproductive females, along with their decreasing health (20%). The effects of decreasing mean body size on reproductive performance are another concerning indication of the worsening prospects for this species and many others affected by environmental change, requiring a focus of conservation and management interventions on improving conditions that affect reproduction as well as reducing mortality.

Indexed as

Bayesian state-space modelbody sizecapital breedingEubalaena glacialishealthlength

Identifiers

PMID38420631
PMCPMC10898963
OpenAlexW4392391149

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.