Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38412133›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

The distorting effects of producer strategies: Why engagement does not reveal consumer preferences for misinformation.

Alexander J Stewart, Antonio A Arechar, David G Rand, Joshua B Plotkin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alexander J StewartSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, St Andrews KY16 9SS, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5234-3871
Antonio A ArecharDivisión de Economía, Center for Research and Teaching in Economics, Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, Aguascalientes, MX 20314.
David G RandSloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.ORCID 0000-0001-8975-2783
Joshua B PlotkinDepartment of Biology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.ORCID 0000-0003-2349-6304

Funding

John Templeton Foundation (JTF) 62281
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A great deal of empirical research has examined who falls for misinformation and why. Here, we introduce a formal game-theoretic model of engagement with news stories that captures the strategic interplay between (mis)information consumers and producers. A key insight from the model is that observed patterns of engagement do not necessarily reflect the preferences of consumers. This is because producers seeking to promote misinformation can use strategies that lead moderately inattentive readers to engage more with false stories than true ones-even when readers prefer more accurate over less accurate information. We then empirically test people's preferences for accuracy in the news. In three studies, we find that people strongly prefer to click and share news they perceive as more accurate-both in a general population sample, and in a sample of users recruited through Twitter who had actually shared links to misinformation sites online. Despite this preference for accurate news-and consistent with the predictions of our model-we find markedly different engagement patterns for articles from misinformation versus mainstream news sites. Using 1,000 headlines from 20 misinformation and 20 mainstream news sites, we compare Facebook engagement data with 20,000 accuracy ratings collected in a survey experiment. Engagement with a headline is negatively correlated with perceived accuracy for misinformation sites, but positively correlated with perceived accuracy for mainstream sites. Taken together, these theoretical and empirical results suggest that consumer preferences cannot be straightforwardly inferred from empirical patterns of engagement.

Indexed as

Consumer BehaviorSocial MediaCognitionCommunicationEmpirical ResearchHumansSurveys and Questionnairesgame theoryinformation ecosystemsmisinformationonline behavior

Identifiers

PMID38412133
PMCPMC10927527

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.