Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38411023›Full record

ArticleACR open rheumatology2024

Predicting Flare in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis in Biologic Induced Remission, on Tapering, and on Stable Therapy.

Hanna Gul, Andrea Di Matteo, Innocent Anioke, Farag Shuweidhi, Kulveer Mankia, Frederique Ponchel, Paul Emery

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ACR open rheumatology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Hanna GulUniversity of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2546-8614
Andrea Di MatteoUniversity of Leeds and National Institute for Health and Care Research Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0867-7051
Innocent AniokeUniversity of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7600-4823
Farag ShuweidhiUniversity of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Kulveer MankiaUniversity of Leeds and National Institute for Health and Care Research Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.
Frederique PonchelUniversity of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3969-7701
Paul EmeryUniversity of Leeds and National Institute for Health and Care Research Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7429-8482
University of Leeds · GB

Funding

Leeds Hospitals Charity Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe tapering of biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (b-DMARD) therapy for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in stable remission is frequently undertaken, but specific guidance on how to successfully taper is lacking. The objective of this study is to identify predictors of flare in patients in stable b-DMARD-induced clinical remission, who did or did not follow structured b-DMARD tapering.

methodsPatients with RA receiving b-DMARD treatment who had achieved sustained remission according to a Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein level (DAS28-CRP) <2.6 for ≥6 months were offered tapering. Clinical, ultrasound (US) (total power Doppler [PD]/grayscale abnormalities), CD4

resultsOf 63 patients choosing tapering, 23 (37%) flared compared with 12 of 60 (20%) on stable treatment (P = 0.043). All patients who flared regained remission upon reinstating treatment. In the tapering group, flare was associated with lower regulatory T cell (Treg) (P < 0.0001) and higher CRP levels (P < 0.0001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (P < 0.035), and inflammation-related cells (IRCs) (P = 0.054); stepwise modeling selected Tregs (odds ratio [OR] = 0.350, P = 0.004), IRCs (OR = 1.871, P = 0.007), and CRP level (OR = 1.577, P = 0.004) with 81.7% accuracy and AUROC = 0.890. In the continued therapy group, modeling retained the tender joint count, total PD, and visual analog scale pain score, with 82.1% accuracy and AUROC = 0.899. Most patients in the study were considered low risk of flare (80 of 123 patients [65%]). Only 5 of 37 (13.5%) of the low-risk patients who tapered flared, which was notable compared with the continued therapy group (20% flare).

conclusionFlare on tapering b-DMARDs was predicted by lower Tregs and elevated inflammation biomarkers (IRCs/CRP level); flare on continued b-DMARDs was associated with raised pain parameters and US inflammation. Knowledge of these biomarkers should improve outcomes by targeted selection for tapering, and by increased monitoring of those on continued therapy predicted to flare.

Identifiers

PMID38411023
PMCPMC11089437
OpenAlexW4392193545

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.