ArticleNature communications2024
Modern anthropogenic drought in Central Brazil unprecedented during last 700 years.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Temporal and production-related determinants of microbial counts in pingo, the natural starter culture of minas artisanal cheese.Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology] · 2026Article
- Climate urgency enables political alignment for Latin American power integration.Nature communications · 2026Article
- ENSO-induced precipitation seasonality in the Chinese loess plateau during 1767-2050 CE.Fundamental research · 2026Article
- Maize-based polyculture, not monoculture, sustained precolonial societies in the Brazilian Cerrado.Science advances · 2026Article
- Rapid warming in South America during the last deglaciation.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Two decades of human- and climate-induced groundwater storage shifts in Brazil.Science advances · 2026Article
- Irrigation constraints shape the global potential for multiple cropping expansion on existing cropland.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2026Article
- Climate research in the Global South.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Ultra-efficient, Anisotropic Cellulose Aerogel with Polydopamine Interfacial Bridged Structure and Photothermal Modification for Seawater Desalination.Research (Washington, D.C.) · 2025Article
- Tree ring isotopes reveal an intensification of the hydrological cycle in the Amazon.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Climate and urbanization drive changes in the habitat suitability of Schistosoma mansoni competent snails in Brazil.Nature communications · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
22 authors.
Funding
Abstract
A better understanding of the relative roles of internal climate variability and external contributions, from both natural (solar, volcanic) and anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing, is important to better project future hydrologic changes. Changes in the evaporative demand play a central role in this context, particularly in tropical areas characterized by high precipitation seasonality, such as the tropical savannah and semi-desertic biomes. Here we present a set of geochemical proxies in speleothems from a well-ventilated cave located in central-eastern Brazil which shows that the evaporative demand is no longer being met by precipitation, leading to a hydrological deficit. A marked change in the hydrologic balance in central-eastern Brazil, caused by a severe warming trend, can be identified, starting in the 1970s. Our findings show that the current aridity has no analog over the last 720 years. A detection and attribution study indicates that this trend is mostly driven by anthropogenic forcing and cannot be explained by natural factors alone. These results reinforce the premise of a severe long-term drought in the subtropics of eastern South America that will likely be further exacerbated in the future given its apparent connection to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.