Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38408128›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2024

Mapping the incidence rate of typhoid fever in sub-Saharan Africa.

Jong-Hoon Kim, Jungsoon Choi, Chaelin Kim, Gi Deok Pak, Prerana Parajulee, Andrea Haselbeck, Se Eun Park, Vittal Mogasale, Hyon Jin Jeon, Annie J Browne and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Risk Factors for Typhoid Fever: Systematic Review.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Genotypic Diversity amongInternational journal of clinical microbiology · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Jong-Hoon KimInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-9717-4044
Jungsoon ChoiDepartment of Mathematics, Hanyang University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Chaelin KimInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Gi Deok PakInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Prerana ParajuleeInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Andrea HaselbeckInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Se Eun ParkInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Vittal MogasaleInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Hyon Jin JeonInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-2344-4574
Annie J BrowneMalaria Atlas Project, Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Australia.
Ellis Owusu-DaboMalaria Atlas Project, Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Australia.
Raphaël RakotozandrindrainySchool of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Laing Building Complex J.W. Acheampong CI, Kumasi, Ghana.
Abdramane Soura BassiahiInstitut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
Mekonnen TeferiArmauer Hansen Research Institute, ALERT Compound Zenebework, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Octavie Lunguya-MetilaDepartment of Microbiology, Institut National de Recherche Biomédicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.
Christiane DolecekCentre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
John A CrumpCentre for International Health, Division of Health Sciences, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Simon I HayInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Florian MarksInternational Vaccine Institute, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6043-7170

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates FoundationSevere Typhoid Fever in Africa ProgramTyphoid Fever Surveillance in Africa ProgramVaccine AllianceVaccine Impact Modelling Consortium
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith more than 1.2 million illnesses and 29,000 deaths in sub-Saharan Africa in 2017, typhoid fever continues to be a major public health problem. Effective control of the disease would benefit from an understanding of the subnational geospatial distribution of the disease incidence.

methodWe collated records of the incidence rate of typhoid fever confirmed by culture of blood in Africa from 2000 to 2022. We estimated the typhoid incidence rate for sub-Saharan Africa on 20 km × 20 km grids by exploring the association with geospatial covariates representing access to improved water and sanitation, health conditions of the population, and environmental conditions.

resultsWe identified six published articles and one pre-print representing incidence rate estimates in 22 sites in 2000-2022. Estimated incidence rates showed geospatial variation at sub-national, national, and regional levels. The incidence rate was high in Western and Eastern African subregions followed by Southern and Middle African subregions. By age, the incidence rate was highest among 5-14 yo followed by 2-4 yo, > 14 yo, and 0-1 yo. When aggregated across all age classes and grids that comprise each country, predicted incidence rates ranged from 43.7 (95% confidence interval: 0.6 to 591.2) in Zimbabwe to 2,957.8 (95% CI: 20.8 to 4,245.2) in South Sudan per 100,000 person-years. Sub-national heterogeneity was evident with the coefficient of variation at the 20 km × 20 km grid-level ranging from 0.7 to 3.3 and was generally lower in high-incidence countries and widely varying in low-incidence countries.

conclusionOur study provides estimates of 20 km × 20 km incidence rate of typhoid fever across sub-Saharan Africa based on data collected from 2000 through 2020. Increased understanding of the subnational geospatial variation of typhoid fever in Africa may inform more effective intervention programs by better targeting resources to heterogeneously disturbed disease risk.

Indexed as

Typhoid FeverAdultAfrica South of the SaharaHumansIncidencePublic HealthSanitation

Identifiers

PMID38408128
PMCPMC10965079

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.