Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38408083›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Increasing prevalence of cirrhosis among insured adults in the United States, 2012-2018.

Daniela P Ladner, Michael Gmeiner, Bima J Hasjim, Nikhilesh Mazumder, Raymond Kang, Emily Parker, John Stephen, Praneet Polineni, Anna Chorniy, Lihui Zhao and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. [Burden and epidemiological trends of alcohol use disorder and alcoholic liver disease in the Asia-Pacific region].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Standardization of the Cirrhosis Admission Process and Its Impact on Inpatient Management and Patient Outcomes.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
  7. Role of social determinants and outcomes of patients with alcohol-associated liver disease referred for early liver transplantation: A multicenter analysis.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Where Do Patients With Cirrhosis Die? A CDC WONDER Analysis From 1999 to 2020.JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Disparities in hepatitis C among people aged 12-59 with no history of injection drug use, United States, January 2013-March 2020.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Daniela P LadnerNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5526-8272
Michael GmeinerDepartment of Economics, London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom.
Bima J HasjimNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Nikhilesh MazumderNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-9749-5334
Raymond KangInstitute for Public Health and Medicine (IPHAM), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Emily ParkerUnitedHealth Group, United States of America.
John StephenDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Praneet PolineniNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4981-4684
Anna ChorniyDepartment of Medical Social Sciences and Buehler Center for Health Policy and Economics, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Lihui ZhaoNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Lisa B VanWagnerNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Ronald T AckermannNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
Charles F ManskiNorthwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-7260-7686
Northwestern University · USLondon School of Economics and Political Science · GBUnitedHealth Group (United States) · US

Funding

Transplant Surgery Scientist Training ProgramT32DK077662 · NIDDK · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Richard M Green, Daniela P Ladner · 2007 to 2026
$3.8M
Natural history, risk prediction and cost of cirrhosis in insured Americans.R01DK131164 · NIDDK · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI LADNER, DANIELA P, MANSKI, CHARLES F · 2022 to 2025
$2.7M
1/4-The INTEGRATE Study: Evaluating INTEGRATEd Care to Improve Biopsychosocial Outcomes of Early Liver Transplantation for Alcohol-Associated Liver DiseaseR01AA030956 · NIAAA · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Lisa B VanWagner · 2023 to 2026
$1.7M
Outcomes for Children with Asthma on Medicaid: Elucidating Key Determinants at the Policy, Plan, Neighborhood, and Person Levels to Address Disparities.K01HL163457 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Anna Chorniy · 2022 to 2026
$911k
Blood pressure as a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular events in liver transplant recipientsR56HL155093 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI VANWAGNER, LISA B · 2021 to 2021
$774k
Implementation science to improve cardiovascular outcomes among liver transplant recipientsK23HL136891 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI VANWAGNER, LISA B · 2017 to 2020
$757k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL163457NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL136891NHLBI NIH HHS R56 HL155093NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA030956NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK131164NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK077662
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLiver cirrhosis is a chronic disease that is known as a "silent killer" and its true prevalence is difficult to describe. It is imperative to accurately characterize the prevalence of cirrhosis because of its increasing healthcare burden.

methodsIn this retrospective cohort study, trends in cirrhosis prevalence were evaluated using administrative data from one of the largest national health insurance providers in the US. (2011-2018). Enrolled adult (≥18-years-old) patients with cirrhosis defined by ICD-9 and ICD-10 were included in the study. The primary outcome measured in the study was the prevalence of cirrhosis 2011-2018.

resultsAmong the 371,482 patients with cirrhosis, the mean age was 62.2 (±13.7) years; 53.3% had commercial insurance and 46.4% had Medicare Advantage. The most frequent cirrhosis etiologies were alcohol-related (26.0%), NASH (20.9%) and HCV (20.0%). Mean time of follow-up was 725 (±732.3) days. The observed cirrhosis prevalence was 0.71% in 2018, a 2-fold increase from 2012 (0.34%). The highest prevalence observed was among patients with Medicare Advantage insurance (1.67%) in 2018. Prevalence increased in each US. state, with Southern states having the most rapid rise (2.3-fold). The most significant increases were observed in patients with NASH (3.9-fold) and alcohol-related (2-fold) cirrhosis.

conclusionBetween 2012-2018, the prevalence of liver cirrhosis doubled among insured patients. Alcohol-related and NASH cirrhosis were the most significant contributors to this increase. Patients living in the South, and those insured by Medicare Advantage also have disproportionately higher prevalence of cirrhosis. Public health interventions are important to mitigate this concerning trajectory of strain to the health system.

Indexed as

Medicare Part CNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedHumansLiver CirrhosisMiddle AgedPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesUnited States

Identifiers

PMID38408083
PMCPMC10896513
OpenAlexW4392153974

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.