Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38394074›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Risk calculator of the clinical response to antihistamines in chronic urticaria: Development and internal validation.

Jorge Sánchez, Fabian Jaimes, Elizabeth García, Josefina Zakzuk, Ricardo Cardona, Margarita Velasquez

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Evaluation of the clinical utility of medical tests in chronic urticaria.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. Global · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Jorge SánchezGroup of Clinical and Experimental Allergy, "IPS University" Clinic, University of Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0001-6341-783X
Fabian JaimesInternal Medicine Department, "San Vicente" Clinic, University of Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
Elizabeth GarcíaSurgical Medical Unit-ENT (UNIMEQ-ORL), Bogotá, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0002-7456-4007
Josefina ZakzukHealth Economics Research Group, ALZAK Foundation, Immunological Research Institute, University of Cartagena, Cartagena, Colombia.
Ricardo CardonaGroup of Clinical and Experimental Allergy, "IPS University" Clinic, University of Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
Margarita VelasquezDermatological Research Center, University of Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
Universidad de Antioquia · COHospital Universitario de San Vicente Fundación · COUniversidad Metropolitana · COUniversity of Cartagena · CO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early detection of CSU patients with low probability of a clinical response with antihistamines could undergo prompt initiation of therapeutic alternatives. The aim of the study was to develop and internally validate a model for predicting the clinical response to antihistamines in adult patients with chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU), who consult allergology and dermatology care centers. A cohort of CSU patients, recruited from four participating centers, were followed up for 12 months. Fifteen candidate variables were selected to be included in the multivariate model and then internal validation was done with bootstrap analysis with 1000 simulations. The outcome variable, clinical response to antihistamines, was evaluated with the UAS (Urticaria Activity Score) scale for seven days: "No response to antihistamines" was defined as UAS7 ≥7 points after at least one month with a maximum dose of antihistamines, while "Response to antiH1" was defined as UAS7 ≤6 points for at least three months with the use of antiH1. A total of 790 patients were included. Among the different models analyzed, the model that included age, angioedema, anxiety/depression, time with the disease, NSAIDs (Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs) intolerance, and UAS7 baseline was considered the one with the best performance (accuracy 0.675, HL 0.87, AUC 0.727). The internal validation analyses demonstrated good consistency of the model. In conclusion, this prediction model identifies the probability of response to antihistamines in patients with chronic spontaneous urticaria. The model could be useful for a personalized therapeutic approach according to individual patient risk.

Indexed as

Anti-Allergic AgentsChronic UrticariaUrticariaAdultAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalChronic DiseaseHistamine AntagonistsHistamine H1 AntagonistsHumansOmalizumabTreatment OutcomeAnti-Allergic AgentsAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalHistamine AntagonistsHistamine H1 AntagonistsOmalizumab

Identifiers

PMID38394074
PMCPMC10889609
OpenAlexW4392111575

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.