Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38388926›Full record

ArticleJournal of neurology2024

Risk and sex-specific trends of dementia and stroke in Italy Compared to European and high-income countries and the world: global implications.

Abolfazl Avan, Antonia Nucera, Saverio Stranges, Walter A Rocca, Giancarlo Logroscino, Matilde Leonardi, Alberto Raggi, Vladimir Hachinski

Abstract readComparative Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Long-term trends in selected neurological disorders in Italy (1990-2023): analysis of the global burden of disease (GBD) 2023 data.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
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  3. Review
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  5. The burden of ischemic stroke and its attributable risk factors among people aged 15-49 years in Asia, 1990-2021: results from the global burden of disease study 2021.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Article
  6. G20 stroke burden 1990-2035: trends, projections and precision health insights.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Abolfazl Avan *Robarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
Antonia Nucera *Neurovascular Treatment Unit, Spaziani Hospital, Frosinone, Italy.
Saverio StrangesDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.
Walter A RoccaDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Giancarlo LogroscinoDepartment of Translational Biomedicine and Neurosciences (DiBraiN), University of Bari Aldo Moro, Bari, Italy.
Matilde LeonardiDepartment of Neurology, Public Health, and Disability, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta, Milan, Italy.
Alberto RaggiDepartment of Neurology, Public Health, and Disability, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta, Milan, Italy.
Vladimir HachinskiRobarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada. vladimir.hachinski@lhsc.on.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0487-734X
Western University · CAFondazione IRCCS Istituto Neurologico Carlo Besta · ITInnovation Engineering (Italy) · ITMayo Clinic in Arizona · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnderstanding the increasing trends in Italy may inform new prevention strategies and better treatments. We investigated trends and risk factors of dementia, stroke, and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in Italy with the second-oldest population globally, compared to European and high-income countries and the world.

methodsWe analyzed the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 estimates on incidence and burden (i.e., disability and death combined) of the three conditions in both sexes. We also analyzed the burden attributable to 12 modifiable risk factors and their changes during 1990-2019.

resultsIn 2019, Italy had 186,108 new dementias (123,885 women) and 94,074 new strokes (53,572 women). Women had 98% higher crude dementia and 24% higher crude stroke burdens than men. The average age-standardized new dementia rate was 114.7 per 100,000 women and 88.4 per 100,000 men, both higher than Western Europe, the European Union, high-income countries, and the world. During 1990-2019, this rate increased in both sexes (4%), despite a decline in stroke (- 45%) and IHD (- 17%) in Italy. Dementia burden attributable to tobacco decreased in both sexes (- 12.7%) during 1990-2019, while high blood glucose and high body mass index combined burden increased (25.4%). Stroke and IHD had similar trends.

conclusionsWhile decreases in new strokes and IHDs are encouraging, new approaches to their joint prevention are required to reverse the rising dementia trends, especially among women. Life course approaches to promoting holistic brain health should be implemented at the community, national, and international levels before the growing trends become overwhelming.

Indexed as

DementiaStrokeAgedAged, 80 and overDeveloped CountriesEuropeFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceItalyMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSex FactorsCardiovascular diseasesHealth risk behaviorsHolistic healthPreventive health servicesRisk factorsStroke

Identifiers

PMID38388926
OpenAlexW4392124830

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.