Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38386271›Full record

ArticleApplied health economics and health policy2024

The Impact of Raising Alcohol Taxes on Government Tax Revenue: Insights from Five European Countries.

Jakob Manthey, Inese Gobiņa, Laura Isajeva, Jarosław Neneman, Rainer Reile, Mindaugas Štelemėkas, Jürgen Rehm

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied health economics and health policy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jakob MantheyDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Center for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany. j.manthey@uke.de.ORCID 0000-0003-1231-3760
Inese GobiņaDepartment of Public Health and Epidemiology, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, Latvia.ORCID 0000-0003-4546-491X
Laura IsajevaDepartment of Public Health and Epidemiology, Riga Stradiņš University, Riga, Latvia.ORCID 0000-0003-4746-2248
Jarosław NenemanInstitute of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-0865-4706
Rainer ReileDepartment for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, National Institute for Health Development, Tallinn, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0001-9488-887X
Mindaugas ŠtelemėkasHealth Research Institute, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania.ORCID 0000-0002-2040-6900
Jürgen RehmDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Center for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5665-0385

Funding

Evaluation of the impact of alcohol control policies on morbidity and mortality in Lithuania and other Baltic statesR01AA028224 · NIAAA · CENTRE FOR ADDICTION AND MENTAL HEALTH · PI REHM, JUERGEN T, ŠTELEMĖKAS, MINDAUGAS · 2020 to 2024
$2.2M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA028224NIAAA NIH HHS R01AA028224
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveReducing the affordability of alcoholic beverages by increasing alcohol excise taxation can lead to a reduction in alcohol consumption but the impact on government alcohol excise tax revenue is poorly understood. This study aimed to (a) describe cross-country tax revenue variations and (b) investigate how changes in taxation were related to changes in government tax revenue, using data from Estonia, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland.

methodsFor the population aged 15 years or older, we calculated the annual per capita alcohol excise tax revenue, total tax revenue, gross domestic product and alcohol consumption. In addition to descriptive analyses, joinpoint regressions were performed to identify whether changes in alcohol excise taxation were linked to changes in alcohol excise revenue since 1999.

resultsIn 2022, the per capita alcohol excise tax revenue was lowest in Germany (€44.2) and highest in Estonia (€218.4). In all countries, the alcohol excise tax revenue was mostly determined by spirit sales (57-72% of total alcohol tax revenue). During 2010-20, inflation-adjusted per capita alcohol excise tax revenues have declined in Germany (- 22.9%), Poland (- 19.1%) and Estonia (- 4.2%) and increased in Latvia (+ 56.8%) and Lithuania (+ 49.3%). In periods of policy non-action, alcohol consumption and tax revenue showed similar trends, but tax level increases were accompanied by increased revenue and stagnant or decreased consumption.

conclusionsIncreasing alcohol taxation was not linked to decreased but increased government revenue. Policymakers can increase revenue and reduce alcohol consumption and harm by increasing alcohol taxes.

Indexed as

EthanolTaxesCommerceEuropeGermanyGovernmentHumansEthanol

Identifiers

PMID38386271
PMCPMC11021250

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.