Development and implementation of a prognostic model for clear cell renal cell carcinoma based on heterogeneous TLR4 expression.

Objective: Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is the most common subtype among renal cell carcinomas and has the worst prognosis, originating from renal tubular epithelial cells. Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) plays a crucial role in ccRCC proliferation, infiltration, and metastasis. The aim of this study was to construct a prognostic scoring model for ccRCC based on TLR4 expression heterogeneity and to explore its association with immune infiltration, thereby providing insights for the treatment and prognostic evaluation of ccRCC. Methods: Using R software, a differential analysis was conducted on normal samples and ccRCC samples, and in conjunction with the KEGG database, a correlation analysis for the clear cell renal cell carcinoma pathway (hsa05211) was carried out. We observed the expression heterogeneity of TLR4 in the TCGA-KIRC cohort and identified its related differential genes (TRGs). Based on the expression levels of TRGs, consensus clustering was employed to identify TLR4-related subtypes, and further clustering heatmaps, principal component, and single-sample gene set enrichment analyses were conducted. Overlapping differential genes (ODEGs) between subtypes were analysed, and combined with survival data, univariate Cox regression, LASSO, and multivariate Cox regression were used to establish a prognostic risk model for ccRCC. This model was subsequently evaluated through ROC analysis, risk factor correlation analysis, independent prognostic factor analysis, and intergroup differential analysis. The ssGSEA model was employed to explore immune heterogeneity in ccRCC, and the performance of the model in predicting patient prognosis was evaluated using box plots and the oncoPredict software package. Results: In the TCGA-KIRC cohort, TLR4 expression was notably elevated in ccRCC samples compared to normal samples, correlating with improved survival in the high-expression group. The study identified distinct TLR4-related differential genes and categorized ccRCC into three subtypes with varied survival outcomes. A risk prognosis model based on overlapping differential genes was established, showing significant associations with immune cell infiltration and key immune checkpoints (PD-1, PD-L1, CTLA4). Additionally, drug sensitivity differences were observed between risk groups. Conclusion: In the TCGA-KIRC cohort, the expression of TLR4 in ccRCC samples exhibited significant heterogeneity. Through clustering analysis, we identified that the primary immune cells across subtypes are myeloid-derived suppressor cells, central memory CD4 T cells, and regulatory T cells. Furthermore, we successfully constructed a prognostic risk model for ccRCC composed of 17 genes. This model provides valuable references for the prognosis prediction and treatment of ccRCC patients.