ArticleScientific reports2024
Ability of a dynamical climate sensitive disease model to reproduce historical Rift Valley Fever outbreaks over Africa.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Research trends in Rift Valley fever virus: a bibliometric analysis from 1936 to 2024.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025Pooled it
- Persistent circulation of Rift Valley fever virus lineage C in Rwanda, 2022-2025.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Epidemiological and molecular characterization of Rift Valley fever outbreak in livestock in Burundi, May - November 2022.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Viral emergence and pandemic preparedness in a One Health framework.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026Review
- Entropy-based analysis of Rift Valley fever transmission dynamics using delay differential equations.PloS one · 2026Article
- A systematic review and meta-analysis of mosquito arboviral infections detected through xenosurveillance in Africa: A focus on West Nile, Rift Valley fever, and chikungunya virus infections.Current research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026Review
- Association of Weather Variables With Pathogens Contributing to Conjunctivitis Worldwide.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025Article
- The Temperature-Associated Effects of Rift Valley Fever Virus Infections in Mosquitoes and Climate-Driven Epidemics: A Review.Viruses · 2025Review
- One Health investigation and response to a nationwide outbreak of Rift Valley fever in Rwanda - March to December 2022.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is a zoonosis transmitted by Aedes and Culex mosquitoes, and is considered a priority pathogen by the WHO. RVF epidemics mostly occur in Africa and can decimate livestock herds, causing significant economic losses and posing health risks for humans. RVF transmission is associated with the occurrence of El Niño events that cause floods in eastern Africa and favour the emergence of mosquitoes in wetlands. Different risk models have been developed to forecast RVF transmission risk but very few studies have validated models at pan-African scale. This study aims to validate the skill of the Liverpool Rift Valley Fever model (LRVF) in reproducing RVF epidemics over Africa and to explore the relationship between simulated climatic suitability for RVF transmission and large-scale climate modes of variability such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Dipole Mode Index (DMI). Our results show that the LRVF model correctly simulates RVF transmission hotspots and reproduces large epidemics that affected African countries. LRVF was able to correctly reproduce major RVF epidemics in Somalia, Kenya, Zambia and to a lesser extent for Mauritania and Senegal. The positive phases of ENSO and DMI are associated with an increased risk of RVF over the Horn of Africa, with important time lags. Following research activities should focus on the development of predictive modelling systems at different time scales.
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