Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38360645›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2024

Higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults, taking into account indirect effects from childhood vaccination: a cost-effectiveness study for the Netherlands.

Pieter T de Boer, Cornelis H van Werkhoven, Albert Jan van Hoek, Mirjam J Knol, Elisabeth A M Sanders, Jacco Wallinga, Hester E de Melker, Anneke Steens

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
11.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Journal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Recommendations on PCV20 vaccine in adults and at-risk populations.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Cost effectiveness of a 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in adults: A systematic review of economic evaluations.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Pieter T de BoerCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands. Pieter.de.boer@rivm.nl.
Cornelis H van WerkhovenCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Albert Jan van HoekCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Mirjam J KnolCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Elisabeth A M SandersCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Jacco WallingaCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Hester E de MelkerCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Anneke SteensCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNew 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) are available for both children and adults, while PCV21 for adults is in development. However, their cost-effectiveness for older adults, taking into account indirect protection and serotype replacement from a switch to PCV15 and PCV20 in childhood vaccination, remains unexamined.

methodsWe used a static model for the Netherlands to assess the cost-effectiveness of different strategies with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23), PCV15, PCV20, and PCV21 for a 65-year-old cohort from a societal perspective, over a 15-year time horizon. Childhood vaccination was varied from PCV10 to PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. Indirect protection was assumed to reduce the incidence of vaccine serotypes in older adults by 80% (except for serotype 3, no effect), completely offset by an increase in non-vaccine serotype incidence due to serotype replacement.

resultsIndirect effects from childhood vaccination reduced the cost-effectiveness of vaccination of older adults, depending on the serotype overlap between the vaccines. With PCV10, PCV13, or PCV15 in children, PCV20 was more effective and less costly for older adults than PPV23 and PCV15. PCV20 costs approximately €10,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to no pneumococcal vaccination, which falls below the conventional Dutch €20,000/QALY gained threshold. However, with PCV20 in children, PCV20 was no longer considered cost-effective for older adults, costing €22,550/QALY gained. As indirect effects progressed over time, the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 for older adults further diminished for newly vaccinated cohorts. PPV23 was more cost-effective than PCV20 for cohorts vaccinated 3 years after the switch to PCV20 in children. PCV21 offered the most QALY gains, and its cost-effectiveness was minimally affected by indirect effects due to its coverage of 11 different serotypes compared to PCV20.

conclusionsFor long-term cost-effectiveness in the Netherlands, the pneumococcal vaccine for older adults should either include invasive serotypes not covered by childhood vaccination or become more affordable than its current pricing for individual use.

Indexed as

Pneumococcal InfectionsAgedChildCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansNetherlandsPneumococcal VaccinesQuality-Adjusted Life YearsVaccinationVaccines, ConjugatePneumococcal VaccinesVaccines, ConjugateCost-effectivenessEconomic evaluationPneumococcalSerotype replacementVaccination

Identifiers

PMID38360645
PMCPMC10870576
OpenAlexW4391880470

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.