Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38360040›Full record

ArticleJournal for immunotherapy of cancer2024

Machine learning analysis of pathological images to predict 1-year progression-free survival of immunotherapy in patients with small-cell lung cancer.

Ryota Shibaki, Daichi Fujimoto, Tsukasa Nozawa, Akira Sano, Yuka Kitamura, Junya Fukuoka, Yuki Sato, Takashi Kijima, Hirotaka Matsumoto, Toshihide Yokoyama and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal for immunotherapy of cancer, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Ryota ShibakiInternal Medicine Ⅲ, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan.
Daichi FujimotoInternal Medicine Ⅲ, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan daichi@wakayama-med.ac.jp.ORCID 0009-0002-6094-4858
Tsukasa NozawaExaWizards Inc, Tokyo, Japan.
Akira SanoExaWizards Inc, Tokyo, Japan.
Yuka KitamuraDepartment of pathology informatics, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Nagasaki, Japan.
Junya FukuokaDepartment of pathology informatics, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Nagasaki, Japan.
Yuki SatoDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Kobe City Medical Center General Hospital, Hyogo, Japan.
Takashi KijimaDepartment of Respiratory Medicine and Hematology, Hyogo Medical University, Hyogo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-4249-4021
Hirotaka MatsumotoDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Hyogo Prefectural Amagasaki General Medical Center, Hyogo, Japan.
Toshihide YokoyamaDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Kurashiki Central Hospital, Okayama, Japan.
Satoru MiuraDepartment of Internal Medicine, Niigata Cancer Center Hospital, Niigata, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-7868-6661
Akito HataDivision of Thoracic Oncology, Kobe Minimally Invasive Cancer Center, Hyogo, Japan.
Motohiro TamiyaDepartment of Thoracic Oncology, Osaka International Cancer Institute, Osaka, Japan.
Yoshihiko TaniguchiDepartment of Internal Medicine, NHO Kinki Chuo Chest Medical Center, Osaka, Japan.
Jun SugisakaDepartment of Pulmonary Medicine, Sendai Kousei Hospital, Miyagi, Japan.
Naoki FuruyaDivision of Respiratory Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, Kanagawa, Japan.
Hisashi TanakaDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Hirosaki University Graduate School of Medicine, Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan.
Nobuyuki YamamotoInternal Medicine Ⅲ, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan.
Yasuhiro KohInternal Medicine Ⅲ, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan.
Hiroaki AkamatsuInternal Medicine Ⅲ, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn small-cell lung cancer (SCLC), the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) could be a promising biomarker for immunotherapy, but objectively evaluating TIME remains challenging. Hence, we aimed to develop a predictive biomarker of immunotherapy efficacy through a machine learning analysis of the TIME.

methodsWe conducted a biomarker analysis in a prospective study of patients with extensive-stage SCLC who received chemoimmunotherapy as the first-line treatment. We trained a model to predict 1-year progression-free survival (PFS) using pathological images (H&E, programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1), and double immunohistochemical assay (cluster of differentiation 8 (CD8) and forkhead box P3 (FoxP3)) and patient information. The primary outcome was the mean area under the curve (AUC) of machine learning models in predicting the 1-year PFS.

resultsWe analyzed 100,544 patches of pathological images from 78 patients. The mean AUC values of patient information, pathological image, and combined models were 0.789 (range 0.571-0.982), 0.782 (range 0.750-0.911), and 0.868 (range 0.786-0.929), respectively. The PFS was longer in the high efficacy group than in the low efficacy group in all three models (patient information model, HR 0.468, 95% CI 0.287 to 0.762; pathological image model, HR 0.334, 95% CI 0.117 to 0.628; combined model, HR 0.353, 95% CI 0.195 to 0.637). The machine learning analysis of the TIME had better accuracy than the human count evaluations (AUC of human count, CD8-positive lymphocyte: 0.681, FoxP3-positive lymphocytes: 0.626, PD-L1 score: 0.567).

conclusionsThe spatial analysis of the TIME using machine learning predicted the immunotherapy efficacy in patients with SCLC, thus supporting its role as an immunotherapy biomarker.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsSmall Cell Lung CarcinomaB7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorForkhead Transcription FactorsHumansImmunotherapyMachine LearningProgression-Free SurvivalProspective StudiesTumor MicroenvironmentB7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorForkhead Transcription FactorsComputational BiologyImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsLung NeoplasmsTumor BiomarkersTumor Microenvironment

Identifiers

PMID38360040
PMCPMC10875545

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.