Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38359949›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2024

Prediction of cardiovascular events in older patients with hypertension in primary care: a cohort study.

Josephine Ml de Hartog-Keyzer, Victor Jm Pop, Laura Rodwell, Robin Nijveldt, Saloua El Messaoudi

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Josephine Ml de Hartog-KeyzerDepartment of Medical and Clinical Psychology, Tilburg University, Tilburg, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8751-9627
Victor Jm PopDepartment of Medical and Clinical Psychology, Tilburg University, Tilburg, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2732-7137
Laura RodwellDepartment for Health Evidence, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5635-4997
Robin NijveldtDepartment of Cardiology, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1530-6363
Saloua El MessaoudiDepartment of Cardiology, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1315-8715
Radboud University Nijmegen · NLTilburg University · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate risk stratification identifying patients with hypertension at risk of future cardiovascular disease in primary care would be desirable.

aimTo investigate the association between elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on an electrocardiogram (ECG), and LVH on an echocardiogram and the development of cardiovascular events (CVEs), especially heart failure and all-cause mortality (ACM), in a primary care population with hypertension without symptoms of heart failure. DESIGN AND

settingA prospective cohort study in five Dutch general practices between 2010-2012 and 2020.

methodIn total, 530 patients (aged 60-85 years) underwent laboratory testing, ECGs, and echocardiograms at baseline. The incidence of new CVEs and ACM at up to 9 years' follow-up was recorded by data extraction from the digital information systems.

resultsAmong the 530 participants, 31 (5.8%) developed a coronary event, 44 (8.3%) a cerebrovascular accident, 53 (10.0%) atrial fibrillation, 23 (4.3%) heart failure, and 66 (12.5%) died. Cox regression analyses, adjusting for relevant Framingham covariates, showed that elevated BNP increased the risk of ACM, CVEs, and specifically heart failure independently by 44% (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07 to 1.94,

conclusionIn primary care patients with hypertension, BNP seems to be an important marker predicting future CVEs, especially heart failure, as well as all-cause mortality.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart FailureHypertensionAgedCohort StudiesElectrocardiographyHumansHypertrophy, Left VentricularPrimary Health CareProspective StudiesRisk Factorsbrain natriuretic peptidecardiovascular diseasesheart failurehypertensionleft ventricular hypertrophyprimary health care

Identifiers

PMID38359949
PMCPMC10962521
OpenAlexW4391872547

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.