Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38357827›Full record

ArticleHead & neck2024

Predicting reoperation and readmission for head and neck free flap patients using machine learning.

Stephanie Y Wang, Louis-Xavier Barrette, Jinggang J Ng, Neel R Sangal, Steven B Cannady, Robert M Brody, Andrés M Bur, Jason A Brant

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Head & neck, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Stephanie Y WangDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4899-7658
Louis-Xavier BarretteDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9086-167X
Jinggang J NgDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1180-7526
Neel R SangalDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8221-8438
Steven B CannadyDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Robert M BrodyDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6639-8830
Andrés M BurDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6879-6453
Jason A BrantDepartment of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3492-0679

Funding

Using Integrated Omics to Identify Dysfunctional Genetic Mechanisms Influencing Schizophrenia and Sleep DisturbancesP20GM130423 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS MEDICAL CENTER · PI ANDREW K. GODWIN · 2019 to 2026
$21.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM130423
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo develop machine learning (ML) models predicting unplanned readmission and reoperation among patients undergoing free flap reconstruction for head and neck (HN) surgery.

methodsData were extracted from the 2012-2019 NSQIP database. eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) was used to develop ML models predicting 30-day readmission and reoperation based on demographic and perioperative factors. Models were validated using 2019 data and evaluated.

resultsFour-hundred and sixty-six (10.7%) of 4333 included patients were readmitted within 30 days of initial surgery. The ML model demonstrated 82% accuracy, 63% sensitivity, 85% specificity, and AUC of 0.78. Nine-hundred and four (18.3%) of 4931 patients underwent reoperation within 30 days of index surgery. The ML model demonstrated 62% accuracy, 51% sensitivity, 64% specificity, and AUC of 0.58.

conclusionXGBoost was used to predict 30-day readmission and reoperation for HN free flap patients. Findings may be used to assist clinicians and patients in shared decision-making and improve data collection in future database iterations.

Indexed as

Free Tissue FlapsHead and Neck NeoplasmsMachine LearningPatient ReadmissionPlastic Surgery ProceduresReoperationAdultAgedDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective Studieshealthcare quality assessmentsmachine learningmicrovascular reconstruction

Identifiers

PMID38357827
PMCPMC12368907

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.