Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38349724›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2024

Estimating the Incidence and Economic Cost of Lyme Disease Cases in Canada in the 21st Century with Projected Climate Change.

Nicholas H Ogden, Ariane Dumas, Philippe Gachon, Ellen Rafferty

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Impact of climate change on the tick-host-pathogen complex: distribution patterns, disease incidence, and host infestation.Revista brasileira de parasitologia veterinaria = Brazilian journal of veterinary parasitology : Orgao Oficial do Colegio Brasileiro de Parasitologia Veterinaria · 2025
    Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Nicholas H OgdenPublic Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, Quebec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1062-7283
Ariane DumasPublic Health Risk Sciences Division, Scientific Operations and Response, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, Quebec, Canada.
Philippe GachonÉtude et Simulation du Climat à l'Échelle Régionale centre, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0711-0822
Ellen RaffertyInstitute of Health Economics, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLyme disease (LD) is emerging in Canada owing to the range expansion of the tick vector

objectivesOur objective was to estimate future LD incidence in Canada, and economic costs, for the 21st century with projected climate change.

methodsFuture regions of climatic suitability for

resultsProjected annual LD cases for Canada ranged from 120,000 to

conclusionsFuture incidence and economic costs of LD in Canada are likely to be substantial, but uncertainties remain. Because densely populated areas of Canada are projected to become endemic under conservative climate change scenarios, mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions is unlikely to provide substantial health co-benefits for LD. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13759.

Indexed as

Greenhouse GasesLyme DiseaseCanadaClimate ChangeHumansIncidenceGreenhouse Gases

Identifiers

PMID38349724
PMCPMC10863724

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.