Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38347008›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Predation and spatial connectivity interact to shape ecosystem resilience to an ongoing regime shift.

Agnes B Olin, Ulf Bergström, Örjan Bodin, Göran Sundblad, Britas Klemens Eriksson, Mårten Erlandsson, Ronny Fredriksson, Johan S Eklöf

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Identifying priority areas for conservation to promote connectivity and mitigate the impacts of anthropogenic disturbance.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Agnes B OlinDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. agnes.olin@slu.se.ORCID 0000-0002-8508-3911
Ulf BergströmDepartment of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5478-0634
Örjan BodinStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8218-1153
Göran SundbladDepartment of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8970-9996
Britas Klemens ErikssonGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Mårten ErlandssonDepartment of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3823-4211
Ronny FredrikssonDepartment of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.
Johan S EklöfDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6936-0926

Funding

Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (Swedish Research Council Formas) 2019-00310Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (Swedish Research Council Formas) 2023-00297
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ecosystem regime shifts can have severe ecological and economic consequences, making it a top priority to understand how to make systems more resilient. Theory predicts that spatial connectivity and the local environment interact to shape resilience, but empirical studies are scarce. Here, we use >7000 fish samplings from the Baltic Sea coast to test this prediction in an ongoing, spatially propagating shift in dominance from predatory fish to an opportunistic mesopredator, with cascading effects throughout the food web. After controlling for the influence of other drivers (including increasing mesopredator densities), we find that predatory fish habitat connectivity increases resilience to the shift, but only when densities of fish-eating top predators (seals, cormorants) are low. Resilience also increases with temperature, likely through boosted predatory fish growth and recruitment. These findings confirm theoretical predictions that spatial connectivity and the local environment can together shape resilience to regime shifts.

Indexed as

Resilience, PsychologicalSeals, EarlessAnimalsEcosystemFishesFood ChainPredatory Behavior

Identifiers

PMID38347008
PMCPMC10861472

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.