Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38332519›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2024

Temporal dynamics and drivers of durable HIV viral load suppression and persistent high- and low-level viraemia during Universal Test and Treat scale-up in Uganda: a population-based study.

Joseph Gregory Rosen, Robert Ssekubugu, Larry W Chang, Victor Ssempijja, Ronald M Galiwango, Joseph Ssekasanvu, Anthony Ndyanabo, Alice Kisakye, Gertrude Nakigozi, Katherine B Rucinski and 13 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
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Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Joseph Gregory RosenDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4991-4033
Robert SsekubuguRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Larry W ChangDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Victor SsempijjaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0003-2609-6525
Ronald M GaliwangoRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Joseph SsekasanvuDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Anthony NdyanaboRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Alice KisakyeRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Gertrude NakigoziRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Katherine B RucinskiDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9858-5953
Eshan U PatelDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Caitlin E KennedyDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6820-063X
Fred NalugodaRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Godfrey KigoziRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Oliver RatmannDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College, London, UK.
Lisa J NelsonDivision of Global HIV and TB, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kampala, Uganda.
Lisa A MillsDivision of Global HIV and TB, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kampala, Uganda.
Donna KabatesiDivision of Global HIV and TB, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Kampala, Uganda.
Aaron A R TobianDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Thomas C QuinnDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Joseph KagaayiRakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Steven J Reynolds *Rakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.
Mary Kathryn Grabowski *Rakai Health Sciences Program, Entebbe, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0002-4451-3436
Rakai Health Sciences Program · UGJohns Hopkins University · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · UGNational Institutes of Health · USImperial College London · GB

Funding

WORK ORDER 126643 B539 EXPAND IC SUITE75N91019D00024 · NIAID · LEIDOS BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH, INC. · PI PENDLETON, RICHARD · 2019 to 2025
$3932.6M
International Center for Excellence in Research (ICER) in Uganda: Impact of ARVsZIAAI001040 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REYNOLDS, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$23.5M
International Studies of the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS)ZIAAI000361 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REDD, ANDREW · 2009 to 2025
$15.8M
Circumcision: HIV/STIs and behaviors in a RCT and post-RCT surveillance; RakaiU01AI075115 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2007 to 2011
$9.3M
Johns Hopkins HIV Epidemiology and Prevention Sciences Training ProgramT32AI102623 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Shruti H Mehta · 2013 to 2026
$5.3M
The role of penile bacteria and inflammation in HIV susceptibility; Rakai, UgandaR01AI123002 · NIAID · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI LIU, CINDY · 2016 to 2020
$3.3M
Enhanced Provision of Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention, Rakai, UgandaU01AI100031 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2012 to 2014
$3.2M
Long-term impact of universal treatment and dolutegravir on population HIV virologic and incidence outcomes in Africa: The LONGVIEW StudyR01AI155080 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRABOWSKI, MARY KATHRYN · 2021 to 2024
$2.5M
Hard-to-Reach Populations: Implications for Ending the AIDS EpidemicR01AI143333 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2019 to 2022
$2.4M
HIV Incidence, Transmission Dynamics and Combination HIV Prevention: Rakai UgandaR01AI110324 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2014 to 2016
$2.4M
Penile Microbiome, Inflammation and HIV Susceptibility During Sexual Debut and Maturation Among Male AdolescentsR01AI128779 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI TOBIAN, AARON A · 2017 to 2020
$2.1M
Understanding HIV risk and service use in hotspot Ugandan fishing communitiesR01MH105313 · NIMH · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI KENNEDY, CAITLIN E · 2015 to 2017
$1.1M
NCI NIH HHS 75N91019D00024NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI110324NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI123002NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128779NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI143333NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI155080NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI102623NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI075115NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI100031NIDA NIH HHS F31 DA054849NIDA NIH HHS F31DA054849NIMH NIH HHS F31 MH126796NIMH NIH HHS F31MH126796NIMH NIH HHS K01 MH129226NIMH NIH HHS K01MH129226NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH105313NIMH NIH HHS R01MH105313
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPopulation-level data on durable HIV viral load suppression (VLS) following the implementation of Universal Test and Treat (UTT) in Africa are limited. We assessed trends in durable VLS and viraemia among persons living with HIV in 40 Ugandan communities during the UTT scale-up.

methodsIn 2015-2020, we measured VLS (<200 RNA copies/ml) among participants in the Rakai Community Cohort Study, a longitudinal population-based HIV surveillance cohort in southern Uganda. Persons with unsuppressed viral loads were characterized as having low-level (200-999 copies/ml) or high-level (≥1000 copies/ml) viraemia. Individual virologic outcomes were assessed over two consecutive RCCS survey visits (i.e. visit-pairs; ∼18-month visit intervals) and classified as durable VLS (<200 copies/ml at both visits), new/renewed VLS (<200 copies/ml at follow-up only), viral rebound (<200 copies/ml at initial visit only) or persistent viraemia (≥200 copies/ml at both visits). Population prevalence of each outcome was assessed over calendar time. Community-level prevalence and individual-level predictors of persistent high-level viraemia were also assessed using multivariable Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations.

resultsOverall, 3080 participants contributed 4604 visit-pairs over three survey rounds. Most visit-pairs (72.4%) exhibited durable VLS, with few (2.5%) experiencing viral rebound. Among those with any viraemia at the initial visit (23.5%, n = 1083), 46.9% remained viraemic through follow-up, 91.3% of which was high-level viraemia. One-fifth (20.8%) of visit-pairs exhibiting persistent high-level viraemia self-reported antiretroviral therapy (ART) use for ≥12 months. Prevalence of persistent high-level viraemia varied substantially across communities and was significantly elevated among young persons aged 15-29 years (vs. 40- to 49-year-olds; adjusted risk ratio [adjRR] = 2.96; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.21-3.96), males (vs. females; adjRR = 2.40, 95% CI: 1.87-3.07), persons reporting inconsistent condom use with non-marital/casual partners (vs. persons with marital/permanent partners only; adjRR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.10-1.74) and persons reporting hazardous alcohol use (adjRR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03-1.16). The prevalence of persistent high-level viraemia was highest among males <30 years (32.0%).

conclusionsFollowing universal ART provision, most persons living with HIV in south-central Uganda are durably suppressed. Among persons exhibiting any viraemia, nearly half exhibited high-level viraemia for ≥12 months and reported higher-risk behaviours associated with onward HIV transmission. Intensified efforts linking individuals to HIV treatment services could accelerate momentum towards HIV epidemic control.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV-1HIV InfectionsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleUgandaViral LoadViremiaAnti-HIV Agentsantiretroviral therapyHIV treatmentHIV viraemiaprospective cohortsub-Saharan AfricaTreat All

Identifiers

PMID38332519
PMCPMC10853573
OpenAlexW4391688348

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.