Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38326921›Full record

SynthesisCritical care (London, England)2024

Procalcitonin for the diagnosis of postoperative bacterial infection after adult cardiac surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Davide Nicolotti, Silvia Grossi, Valeria Palermo, Federico Pontone, Giuseppe Maglietta, Francesca Diodati, Matteo Puntoni, Sandra Rossi, Caterina Caminiti

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Critical care (London, England), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Non-Infectious Causes for Elevated Procalcitonin.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Perioperative Glycemic Control and Outcomes in Cardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Davide NicolottiDepartment of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Silvia GrossiDepartment of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Valeria PalermoDepartment of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Federico PontoneDepartment of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Giuseppe MagliettaClinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy. gmaglietta@ao.pr.it.
Francesca DiodatiClinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Matteo PuntoniClinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Sandra Rossi *Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
Caterina Caminiti *Clinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, University Hospital of Parma, Parma, Italy.
University of Parma · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsPatients undergoing cardiac surgery are subject to infectious complications that adversely affect outcomes. Rapid identification is essential for adequate treatment. Procalcitonin (PCT) is a noninvasive blood test that could serve this purpose, however its validity in the cardiac surgery population is still debated. We therefore performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the accuracy of PCT for the diagnosis of postoperative bacterial infection after cardiac surgery.

methodsWe included studies on adult cardiac surgery patients, providing estimates of test accuracy. Search was performed on PubMed, EmBase and WebOfScience on April 12th, 2023 and rerun on September 15th, 2023, limited to the last 10 years. Study quality was assessed with the QUADAS-2 tool. The pooled measures of performance and diagnostic accuracy, and corresponding 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), were calculated using a bivariate regression model. Due to the variation in reported thresholds, we used a multiple-thresholds within a study random effects model for meta-analysis (diagmeta R-package).

resultsEleven studies were included in the systematic review, and 10 (2984 patients) in the meta-analysis. All studies were single-center with observational design, five of which with retrospective data collection. Quality assessment highlighted various issues, mainly concerning lack of prespecified thresholds for the index test in all studies. Results of bivariate model analysis using multiple thresholds within a study identified the optimal threshold at 3 ng/mL, with a mean sensitivity of 0.67 (0.47-0.82), mean specificity of 0.73 (95% CI 0.65-0.79), and AUC of 0.75 (IC95% 0.29-0.95). Given its importance for practice, we also evaluated PCT's predictive capability. We found that positive predictive value is at most close to 50%, also with a high prevalence (30%), and the negative predictive value was always > 90% when prevalence was < 20%.

conclusionsThese results suggest that PCT may be used to help rule out infection after cardiac surgery. The optimal threshold of 3 ng/mL identified in this work should be confirmed with large, well-designed randomized trials that evaluate the test's impact on health outcomes and on the use of antibiotic therapy. PROSPERO Registration number CRD42023415773. Registered 22 April 2023.

Indexed as

Bacterial InfectionsCardiac Surgical ProceduresAdultBiomarkersHumansProcalcitoninRetrospective StudiesSensitivity and SpecificityBiomarkersProcalcitonin

Identifiers

PMID38326921
PMCPMC10848477
OpenAlexW4391604579

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.