Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38326341›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Process-evaluation of forest aerosol-cloud-climate feedback shows clear evidence from observations and large uncertainty in models.

Sara M Blichner, Taina Yli-Juuti, Tero Mielonen, Christopher Pöhlker, Eemeli Holopainen, Liine Heikkinen, Claudia Mohr, Paulo Artaxo, Samara Carbone, Bruno Backes Meller and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Ten new insights in climate science 2024.One earth (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Sara M BlichnerStockholm University, Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm, SE-106 91, Sweden. sara.blichner@aces.su.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9055-5330
Taina Yli-JuutiUniversity of Eastern Finland, Department of Technical Physics, 70211, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9531-3389
Tero MielonenFinnish Meteorological Institute, Kuopio, FI-70211, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1496-097X
Christopher PöhlkerMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, Multiphase Chemistry Dept., 55128, Mainz, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6958-425X
Eemeli HolopainenUniversity of Eastern Finland, Department of Technical Physics, 70211, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9782-3430
Liine HeikkinenStockholm University, Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm, SE-106 91, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7837-967X
Claudia MohrStockholm University, Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm, SE-106 91, Sweden.
Paulo ArtaxoUniversidade de Sao Paulo, Instituto de Fisica, 05508-090, Sao Paulo, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7754-3036
Samara CarboneFederal University of Uberlândia, Institute of Agrarian Sciences, Uberlândia, MG, Brazil.
Bruno Backes MellerUniversidade de Sao Paulo, Instituto de Fisica, 05508-090, Sao Paulo, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3511-3940
Cléo Quaresma Dias-JúniorFederal Institute of Pará, Department of Physics, Belém, Pará, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4783-4689
Markku KulmalaUniversity of Helsinki, Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR), Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3464-7825
Tuukka PetäjäUniversity of Helsinki, Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR), Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1881-9044
Catherine E ScottUniversity of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0187-969X
Carl SvenhagLund University, Department of Physics, 221-00, Lund, Sweden.
Lars NieradzikLund University, Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, 221-00, Lund, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9562-5235
Moa SporreLund University, Department of Physics, 221-00, Lund, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9240-5114
Daniel G PartridgeUniversity of Exeter, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Exeter, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5970-901X
Emanuele TovazziUniversity of Exeter, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Annele VirtanenUniversity of Eastern Finland, Department of Technical Physics, 70211, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2917-5344
Harri KokkolaUniversity of Eastern Finland, Department of Technical Physics, 70211, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1404-6670
Ilona RiipinenStockholm University, Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm, SE-106 91, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9085-2319

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Natural aerosol feedbacks are expected to become more important in the future, as anthropogenic aerosol emissions decrease due to air quality policy. One such feedback is initiated by the increase in biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions with higher temperatures, leading to higher secondary organic aerosol (SOA) production and a cooling of the surface via impacts on cloud radiative properties. Motivated by the considerable spread in feedback strength in Earth System Models (ESMs), we here use two long-term observational datasets from boreal and tropical forests, together with satellite data, for a process-based evaluation of the BVOC-aerosol-cloud feedback in four ESMs. The model evaluation shows that the weakest modelled feedback estimates can likely be excluded, but highlights compensating errors making it difficult to draw conclusions of the strongest estimates. Overall, the method of evaluating along process chains shows promise in pin-pointing sources of uncertainty and constraining modelled aerosol feedbacks.

Identifiers

PMID38326341
PMCPMC10850362

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.