Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38324696›Full record

ArticleScience advances2024

Climate-invariant machine learning.

Tom Beucler, Pierre Gentine, Janni Yuval, Ankitesh Gupta, Liran Peng, Jerry Lin, Sungduk Yu, Stephan Rasp, Fiaz Ahmed, Paul A O'Gorman and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Can AI weather models predict out-of-distribution gray swan tropical cyclones?Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Climate-invariant machine learning.Science advances · 2024
    Article
  12. Learning PDE to Model Self-Organization of Matter.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Tom BeuclerFaculty of Geosciences and Environment, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, VD 1015, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-5731-1040
Pierre GentineDepartment of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0845-8345
Janni YuvalDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7519-0118
Ankitesh GuptaDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2035-9948
Liran PengDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.
Jerry LinDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1778-9426
Sungduk YuDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4506-3887
Stephan RaspGoogle Research, Mountain View, CA 94043, USA.
Fiaz AhmedDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Paul A O'GormanDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1748-0816
J David NeelinDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9414-9962
Nicholas J LutskoScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2733-7810
Michael PritchardDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0340-6327

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Projecting climate change is a generalization problem: We extrapolate the recent past using physical models across past, present, and future climates. Current climate models require representations of processes that occur at scales smaller than model grid size, which have been the main source of model projection uncertainty. Recent machine learning (ML) algorithms hold promise to improve such process representations but tend to extrapolate poorly to climate regimes that they were not trained on. To get the best of the physical and statistical worlds, we propose a framework, termed "climate-invariant" ML, incorporating knowledge of climate processes into ML algorithms, and show that it can maintain high offline accuracy across a wide range of climate conditions and configurations in three distinct atmospheric models. Our results suggest that explicitly incorporating physical knowledge into data-driven models of Earth system processes can improve their consistency, data efficiency, and generalizability across climate regimes.

Identifiers

PMID38324696
PMCPMC10849594

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.