Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38321008›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

A triple increase in global river basins with water scarcity due to future pollution.

Mengru Wang, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Rhodé Rijneveld, Felicitas Beier, Mirjam P Bak, Masooma Batool, Bram Droppers, Alexander Popp, Michelle T H van Vliet, Maryna Strokal

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed.

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  18. Granular polymers with immobilizedJournal of water and health · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Mengru WangEarth Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands. mengru.wang@wur.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2543-4871
Benjamin Leon BodirskyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Leibniz Association, Telegrafenberg A56, 14412, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8242-6712
Rhodé RijneveldEarth Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-7363-2767
Felicitas BeierPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Leibniz Association, Telegrafenberg A56, 14412, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8725-7663
Mirjam P BakEarth Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7183-9864
Masooma BatoolUFZ-Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1385-2512
Bram DroppersDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, PO Box 80.115, 3508, TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9559-8986
Alexander PoppPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Leibniz Association, Telegrafenberg A56, 14412, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9500-1986
Michelle T H van VlietDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, PO Box 80.115, 3508, TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2597-8422
Maryna StrokalEarth Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University & Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708, PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8063-7743

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 776479 COACCHEC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 821010 CASCADESKoninklijke Nederlandse Akademie van Wetenschappen (Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) PSA-SA-E-01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Water security is at stake today. While climate changes influence water availability, urbanization and agricultural activities have led to increasing water demand as well as pollution, limiting safe water use. We conducted a global assessment of future clean-water scarcity for 2050s by adding the water pollution aspect to the classical water quantity-induced scarcity assessments. This was done for >10,000 sub-basins focusing on nitrogen pollution in rivers by integrating land-system, hydrological and water quality models. We found that water pollution aggravates water scarcity in >2000 sub-basins worldwide. The number of sub-basins with water scarcity triples due to future nitrogen pollution worldwide. In 2010, 984 sub-basins are classified as water scarce when considering only quantity-induced scarcity, while 2517 sub-basins are affected by quantity & quality-induced scarcity. This number even increases to 3061 sub-basins in the worst case scenario in 2050. This aggravation means an extra 40 million km

Identifiers

PMID38321008
PMCPMC10847517

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.