ArticleNEJM evidence2023
Prior Ground: Selection of Prior Distributions When Analyzing Clinical Trial Data Using Bayesian Methods.
Article in NEJM evidence, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Optimising clinical trial design choices in inflammatory bowel disease.BMJ open gastroenterology · 2026Review
- Choosing informative priors in Bayesian regression models: a simulation study and tutorial using Stan and R.Frontiers in psychology · 2026Article
- Past, present, and future of Phase 3 vaccine trial design: rethinking statistics for the 21st century.Clinical and experimental immunology · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
- Comment on
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Increasingly, investigators are choosing to use Bayesian methods for the analysis of clinical trial data. Unlike classical statistical methods that treat model parameter values (such as treatment effects) as fixed, Bayesian methods view parameters as following a probability distribution. As we have written previously,
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.