Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38318377›Full record

ArticleiScience2024

The future evolution of global natural gas trade.

Brinda Yarlagadda, Gokul Iyer, Matthew Binsted, Pralit Patel, Marshall Wise, Jeff McLeod

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Electrocatalytic methane oxidationChemical science · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Brinda YarlagaddaJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, USA.
Gokul IyerJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, USA.
Matthew BinstedJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, USA.
Pralit PatelJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, USA.
Marshall WiseJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, USA.
Jeff McLeodBrentwood School, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the long-term evolution of natural gas is critical in the context of long-term energy system transitions. Here, we explicitly represent traded pipeline and liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure in the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM). We find LNG to make up a dominant share of gas trade, as it can be flexibly shipped across regions. New global investments in LNG and pipeline export infrastructure respectively range from 230 to 840 and 70-620 million tons per annum (MTPA) by 2050 across scenarios; the lower end of this range is achieved through transitioning to low-carbon energy systems along with limited trade. Our results also highlight diverging implications for regions based on their gas trade profiles. For example, Russia, which produces gas largely for pipeline exports may experience greater production losses due to liquefaction and shipping improvements and geopolitical shifts than regions oriented more toward domestic and LNG markets, such as USA and Middle East.

Indexed as

Energy managementEnergy ModellingEnergy policyEnergy resources

Identifiers

PMID38318377
PMCPMC10838946

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.