Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38312527›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology2023

Prediction sets adaptive to unknown covariate shift.

Hongxiang Qiu, Edgar Dobriban, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Doubly robust calibration of prediction sets under covariate shift.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology · 2024
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hongxiang QiuDepartment of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Edgar DobribanDepartment of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Eric Tchetgen TchetgenDepartment of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.

Funding

Novel Designs and Methods to Remove Hidden Confounding Bias in Health SciencesR01AG065276 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2020 to 2024
$2.4M
Theory and methods for mediation and interactionR01CA222147 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL, VANDERWEELE, TYLER · 2018 to 2022
$2.1M
Accounting for Hidden Bias in Vaccine Studies: A Negative Control FrameworkR01GM139926 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SHI, XU, TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2021 to 2024
$1.5M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222147NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065276NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM139926
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predicting sets of outcomes-instead of unique outcomes-is a promising solution to uncertainty quantification in statistical learning. Despite a rich literature on constructing prediction sets with statistical guarantees, adapting to unknown covariate shift-a prevalent issue in practice-poses a serious unsolved challenge. In this article, we show that prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantee are uninformative and propose a novel flexible distribution-free method, PredSet-1Step, to efficiently construct prediction sets with an asymptotic coverage guarantee under unknown covariate shift. We formally show that our method is

Indexed as

covariate shiftmachine learningnonparametric inferencenonparametric modelPAC guaranteeprediction set

Identifiers

PMID38312527
PMCPMC10837005

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.