Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38310191›Full record

ArticleEuropean geriatric medicine2024

Prognostic factors of poor outcomes in pneumonia in older adults: aspiration or frailty?

Yuki Yoshimatsu, Heledd Thomas, Trevor Thompson, David G Smithard

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European geriatric medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Factors driving outcome variability in aspiration and community-acquired pneumonia: a meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Yuki YoshimatsuElderly Care, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust, Stadium Rd, London, SE18 4QH, UK. yukitsukihana0105@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0913-3507
Heledd ThomasElderly Care, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust, Stadium Rd, London, SE18 4QH, UK.
Trevor ThompsonCentre for Chronic Illness and Ageing, University of Greenwich, London, UK.
David G SmithardElderly Care, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust, Stadium Rd, London, SE18 4QH, UK.
Queen Elizabeth Hospital · GBUniversity of Greenwich · GB

Funding

Japanese Respiratory Society 2021
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLittle is known about the long-term and functional prognoses of older adults with pneumonia, which complicates their management. There is a common belief that aspiration is a poor prognostic factor; however, the diagnosis of aspiration pneumonia (AP) lacks consensus criteria and is mainly based on clinical characteristics typical of the frailty syndrome. Therefore, the poor prognosis of AP may also be a result of frailty rather than aspiration. This study investigated the impact of AP and other prognostic factors in older patients with pneumonia.

methodsWe performed a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 75 years and older, admitted with pneumonia in 2021. We divided patients according to their initial diagnosis (AP or non-AP), compared outcomes using Kaplan-Meier curves, and used logistic regression to identify independent prognostic factors.

results803 patients were included, with a median age of 84 years and 52.7% were male. 17.3% were initially diagnosed with AP. Mortality was significantly higher in those diagnosed with AP than non-AP during admission (27.6% vs 19.0%, p = 0.024) and at 1 year (64.2% vs 53.1%, p = 0.018), with survival analysis showing a median survival time of 62 days and 274 days in AP and non-AP, respectively (χ

conclusionThe greater mortality in AP may be a result of increased frailty rather than the diagnosis of aspiration itself. This supports our proposal for a paradigm shift from making predictions based on the potentially futile labelling of AP or non-AP, to considering frailty and overall condition of the patient.

Indexed as

FrailtyPneumoniaPneumonia, AspirationAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFrail ElderlyHumansMalePrognosisRespiratory AspirationRetrospective StudiesAnticholinergicAspiration pneumoniaCAPDysphagiaFrailty

Identifiers

PMID38310191
PMCPMC10997696
OpenAlexW4391508366

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.