Understanding pediatric surgical needs in North Korea: a modeling analysis.

Background: Sixty-five percent of children worldwide lack access to surgical care, the majority of whom live in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Developing surgical infrastructure requires information on surgical need; however, this information is often limited in LMICs. North Korea (Democratic People's Republic of Korea, DPRK) has a low amount of publicly available data. Here, we analyzed available modeled data to understand the causes of pediatric deaths due to conditions treatable with surgery in DPRK. Methods: We used World Bank data and models from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation to identify causes of pediatric deaths affecting pediatric patients (age <20 years). We compared mortality of disease between DPRK and countries with similar economic status. Results: Between 1990 and 2019, the number of overall pediatric deaths has decreased. In 2019, 32.2% of all pediatric deaths in DPRK were caused by surgical conditions. The leading categories of surgical conditions were injuries (53.9%), congenital conditions (34.2%), tumors (8.8%), and abdominal conditions (3.2%). DPRK has a lower relative rate of pediatric deaths compared with other LMICs with similar gross domestic product per capita. However, it has a higher relative rate of pediatric deaths due to conditions requiring treatment with surgery. Transport injuries contribute significantly to the high rate of pediatric deaths in DPRK. Conclusions: Although DPRK may be allocating overall resources toward pediatric healthcare more efficiently than economic peers, DPRK may benefit from improvement in pediatric surgical capacity. Improved availability of data and close international collaboration could be potential solutions to bridge this gap.